# More Fertilizer Volatility?

> DTN reports that a possible Russian invasion of Ukraine could disrupt global fertilizer supply and prices. Analysts say the conflict has not yet had much effect on markets, which are seasonally slow in North America.

- Date: 2022-01-27 · published 2022-01-27T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Black Sea · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/43455-more-fertilizer-volatility
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md), [Potash (KCl)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/POTASH.md)

## Why it matters

Risk of sanctions or Black Sea disruption could tighten nutrient supplies and push fertilizer prices higher, raising feed-grain production costs. The impact depends on whether sanctions cover crop nutrients.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- UREA: bullish ▲
- POTASH: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2026-06-02 | [Global Fertilizer Markets Today - IFDC](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7282-global-fertilizer-markets-today-ifdc.md) | -8.2% | -16.1% |
| UREA | 2023-02-20 | [World’s fertilizer market in turmoil](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37253-world-s-fertilizer-market-in-turmoil.md) | +1.8% | -3.8% |
| UREA | 2022-05-26 | [Black swan in the Black Sea: fertilizer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41329-black-swan-in-the-black-sea-fertilizer.md) | -17.1% | -21.4% |
| UREA | 2026-03-29 | [Maintaining fertilizer market stability amid global fluctuation](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20462-maintaining-fertilizer-market-stability-amid-global-fluctuation.md) | +11.2% | +9.5% |
| UREA | 2024-11-06 | [Geopolitics creates volatility in global fertiliser markets - Farmers Weekly](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27323-geopolitics-creates-volatility-in-global-fertiliser-markets-farmers-weekly.md) | -0.8% | -0.5% |
| DAP | 2026-06-02 | [Global Fertilizer Markets Today - IFDC](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7282-global-fertilizer-markets-today-ifdc.md) | -0.3% | -5.1% |
| DAP | 2023-02-20 | [World’s fertilizer market in turmoil](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37253-world-s-fertilizer-market-in-turmoil.md) | -5.5% | -1.0% |
| DAP | 2022-05-26 | [Black swan in the Black Sea: fertilizer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41329-black-swan-in-the-black-sea-fertilizer.md) | -12.2% | -9.0% |

## Sources

- dtnpf.com: https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/ag/crops/article/2022/01/27/russia-ukraine-conflict-cause-supply?referrer=twitter

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.