# China Agrees Fertiliser Export Quota to 2025 | CZ app

> China's CAMPA and NDRC agreed with 15 trading companies on an export quota of close to 1 million tonnes through early 2025 for product already in port. A separate producer quota of 3-4 million tonnes is expected. Urea prices fell across the board that week, with Arab Gulf values down nearly $50/t.

- Date: 2023-11-27 · published 2023-11-27T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region China · magnitude high
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/4326-china-agrees-fertiliser-export-quota-to-2025-cz-app
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md)

## Why it matters

Expected Chinese export volumes near historical levels add significant urea and phosphate supply, reinforcing bearish price pressure on fertilizers.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bearish ▼
- UREA: bearish ▼

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2023-11-30 | 1 | -3.3% | -3.4 | China's export quota deal (about 1 Mt of product in port, with more producer quota expected) raised the prospect of more Chinese urea reaching global markets, and Arab Gulf prices fell nearly $50/t that week, which fits the sharp one-day drop. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2026-06-02 | [China’s 2026 Urea Export Policy: From $660/t Price Floor to 3.3M-Tonne Quota - Fertilizer Daily](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7281-china-s-2026-urea-export-policy-from-660-t-price-floor-to-3-3m-tonne-quota.md) | -8.2% | -16.1% |
| UREA | 2021-12-02 | [China state planner to guarantee energy supply to fertiliser makers](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43913-china-state-planner-to-guarantee-energy-supply-to-fertiliser-makers.md) | -0.6% | -1.3% |
| UREA | 2026-05-27 | [China allows fresh urea exports amid Iran war-fuelled fertiliser crisis, sources say \| MarketScreener](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19173-china-allows-fresh-urea-exports-amid-iran-war-fuelled-fertiliser-crisis-sources.md) | -21.1% | -31.2% |
| UREA | 2023-07-04 | [Fertiliser prices fall, firms to expand exports :: Content :: Tập đoàn Hoá chất Việt Nam (Vinachem)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34976-fertiliser-prices-fall-firms-to-expand-exports-content-tap-oan-hoa-chat-viet.md) | +2.6% | +37.6% |
| UREA | 2025-05-12 | [Urea Market Hit by Chinese Export Uncertainty \| CZ app](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24591-urea-market-hit-by-chinese-export-uncertainty-cz-app.md) | -0.4% | -23.4% |
| DAP | 2024-03-04 | [China Announces 7 Million Tonne MAP, DAP Export Quota \| CZ app](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4296-china-announces-7-million-tonne-map-dap-export-quota-cz-app.md) | +10.0% | -1.3% |
| DAP | 2023-05-09 | [Urea has increased off the news of a possible increase in China's fertiliser export quota \| Farm Weekly \| WA](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36258-urea-has-increased-off-the-news-of-a-possible-increase-in-china-s-fertiliser.md) | +0.9% | -19.6% |
| DAP | 2020-06-08 | [Subsidy for fertiliser to decline](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52928-subsidy-for-fertiliser-to-decline.md) | +0.6% | +10.2% |

## Sources

- czapp.com: https://www.czapp.com/analyst-insights/china-agrees-fertiliser-export-quota-to-2025/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.