# If You Think Fertilizer Prices are Bad Now, Here's Why China Could Make the Situation Even Worse - AgWeb

> StoneX analyst Josh Linville says Russia's decision to halt fertiliser exports for the rest of 2022 removes major supply, since Russia accounts for about 14% of global urea exports and large shares of UAN and potash. He adds that China could worsen the situation, because China and Russia together supply about 40% of global phosphate.

- Date: 2022-03-18 · published 2022-03-18T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/42597-if-you-think-fertilizer-prices-are-bad-now-here-s-why-china-could-make-the
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md), [Potash (KCl)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/POTASH.md)

## Why it matters

Losing Russian and possibly Chinese export volumes tightens global nitrogen, phosphate and potash supply, which keeps fertiliser prices elevated and raises feed grain production costs.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- UREA: bullish ▲
- POTASH: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2021-10-20 | [China’s curbs on fertilizer exports to worsen global price shock](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44476-china-s-curbs-on-fertilizer-exports-to-worsen-global-price-shock.md) | -2.0% | +9.0% |
| UREA | 2025-10-16 | [Why high fertilizer prices? – Ohio Ag Net \| Ohio's Country Journal](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22742-why-high-fertilizer-prices-ohio-ag-net-ohio-s-country-journal.md) | -0.5% | +2.3% |
| UREA | 2022-03-01 | [House Ag Committee Begins Farm Bill Work With Eye on Fertilizer Prices, China Trade War Effects](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42255-house-ag-committee-begins-farm-bill-work-with-eye-on-fertilizer-prices-china.md) | +19.2% | +18.9% |
| UREA | 2023-09-26 | [Fertilizer prices surge after China imposes export ban - VnExpress International](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34021-fertilizer-prices-surge-after-china-imposes-export-ban-vnexpress-international.md) | -3.2% | -6.5% |
| UREA | 2025-12-17 | [Why Fertilizer Prices Now Move on Politics Not Demand](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21420-why-fertilizer-prices-now-move-on-politics-not-demand.md) | +2.1% | +12.9% |
| DAP | 2021-10-20 | [China’s curbs on fertilizer exports to worsen global price shock](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44476-china-s-curbs-on-fertilizer-exports-to-worsen-global-price-shock.md) | +0.0% | +4.3% |
| DAP | 2025-10-16 | [Why high fertilizer prices? – Ohio Ag Net \| Ohio's Country Journal](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22742-why-high-fertilizer-prices-ohio-ag-net-ohio-s-country-journal.md) | -0.0% | -3.5% |
| DAP | 2026-10-21 | [China's phosphate rock market is affected by the ban on phosphate fertilizer exports, affecting both prices and supply](https://feedsoft.ai/events/684-china-s-phosphate-rock-market-is-affected-by-the-ban-on-phosphate-fertilizer.md) | 0.0% | — |

## Sources

- agweb.com: https://www.agweb.com/news/policy/politics/if-you-think-fertilizer-prices-are-bad-now-heres-why-china-could-make-situation-even-worse

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.