# Disease Outbreaks in Mexico’s Hog Herd to Drive U.S. Meat Prices Higher

> Disease outbreaks including PEDv and PRRS are killing pigs in Mexico, shrinking its herd. Mexico is turning to U.S. pork, with the U.S. shipping record amounts and Mexico the top buyer of American pork in the latest week. Rabobank says farmers are also cutting herds because feed has become expensive after Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

- Date: 2022-03-27 · published 2022-03-27T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region Mexico · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/42423-disease-outbreaks-in-mexico-s-hog-herd-to-drive-u-s-meat-prices-higher
- Commodities: [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md), [Meat & Bone Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/MBM.md)

## Why it matters

Stronger Mexican import demand for U.S. pork tightens domestic supply and supports hog and meat prices. High feed costs are reducing herd size, which further reinforces the bullish supply outlook.

## Read by commodity

- MBM: neutral
- HOGS: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2021-03-04 | [Hog Disease Outbreak in China Triggers Surge in U.S. Prices - Caixin Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48271-hog-disease-outbreak-in-china-triggers-surge-in-u-s-prices-caixin-global.md) | +2.3% | +15.3% |
| HOGS | 2021-02-08 | [China's hog futures, company stocks rally on disease outbreaks](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48625-china-s-hog-futures-company-stocks-rally-on-disease-outbreaks.md) | +4.5% | +20.2% |
| HOGS | 2018-10-19 | [China says hog prices to rise ahead of Lunar New Year amid swine fever outbreaks](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62543-china-says-hog-prices-to-rise-ahead-of-lunar-new-year-amid-swine-fever-outbreaks.md) | +2.4% | -0.7% |
| HOGS | 2018-08-31 | [Hog prices poised to soar as deadly swine disease emerges in China - MarketWatch](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63673-hog-prices-poised-to-soar-as-deadly-swine-disease-emerges-in-china-marketwatch.md) | +7.0% | +28.4% |
| HOGS | 2019-03-29 | [Hog prices rise sharply in the U.S. after new data shows toll of African swine fever on China's herd](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60241-hog-prices-rise-sharply-in-the-u-s-after-new-data-shows-toll-of-african-swine.md) | +3.0% | +12.5% |

## Sources

- bloomberglinea.com: https://www.bloomberglinea.com/2022/03/27/disease-outbreaks-in-mexicos-hog-herd-to-drive-us-meat-prices-higher/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.