# Black Sea conflict adds uncertainty to barley outlook - The Barley Bin

> Leftfield Commodity Research says the Russia-Ukraine invasion halted Black Sea shipping and sharply lifted feedgrain prices across Europe, with French prices up US$90-100/t since the invasion began. Ukraine and Russia together supply roughly 30% of global barley exports, and most Ukrainian barley has already shipped. Russian barley exports tend to be steadier through the year, so any interruption there would matter.

- Date: 2022-03-18 · published 2022-03-18T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Black Sea · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/42363-black-sea-conflict-adds-uncertainty-to-barley-outlook-the-barley-bin
- Commodities: [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Disrupted Black Sea shipments and the risk to Russian barley flows keep feed grain prices elevated, especially in import-dependent Western Europe.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2022-03-04 | [How strength in soybean prices is linked to the Black Sea conflict](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12630-how-strength-in-soybean-prices-is-linked-to-the-black-sea-conflict.md) | +0.8% | +7.2% |
| CORN | 2026-07-16 | [Wheat Soars as Black Sea Conflict Reshapes the Grain Markets \| Agriculture of America](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9562-wheat-soars-as-black-sea-conflict-reshapes-the-grain-markets-agriculture-of.md) | +3.1% | +0.6% |
| CORN | 2022-03-01 | [Morning report: Corn buys back acres amidst Ukrainian planting uncertainty – The Seam](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42330-morning-report-corn-buys-back-acres-amidst-ukrainian-planting-uncertainty-the.md) | +4.7% | +12.1% |
| CORN | 2022-03-01 | [Why the Black Sea Matters to Commodity Markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14510-why-the-black-sea-matters-to-commodity-markets.md) | +4.7% | +12.1% |
| CORN | 2023-02-27 | [Ukraine seeks changes to the Black Sea Grain Initiative](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14418-ukraine-seeks-changes-to-the-black-sea-grain-initiative.md) | -1.3% | -1.8% |
| WHEAT | 2026-07-16 | [Wheat Soars as Black Sea Conflict Reshapes the Grain Markets \| Agriculture of America](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9562-wheat-soars-as-black-sea-conflict-reshapes-the-grain-markets-agriculture-of.md) | +3.9% | +0.1% |
| WHEAT | 2022-03-01 | [Morning report: Corn buys back acres amidst Ukrainian planting uncertainty – The Seam](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42330-morning-report-corn-buys-back-acres-amidst-ukrainian-planting-uncertainty-the.md) | +10.5% | +22.7% |
| WHEAT | 2022-03-01 | [Why the Black Sea Matters to Commodity Markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14510-why-the-black-sea-matters-to-commodity-markets.md) | +10.5% | +22.7% |

## Sources

- barleybin.ca: https://barleybin.ca/black-sea-conflict-adds-uncertainty-to-barley-outlook/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.