# Analyst Insight: UK wheat and barley on a knife edge | AHDB

> AHDB's latest UK cereal supply and demand estimates revise the 2021/22 wheat balance up to 2.164Mt on higher imports and lower bioethanol demand, though it remains the third tightest on record. Exports are forecast to more than double to 500Kt, and closing stocks leave only about 164Kt of free stock. UK May-22 feed wheat settled at £311.00/t, with rising feed costs weighing on animal feed demand.

- Date: 2022-03-24 · published 2022-03-24T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region UK · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/42360-analyst-insight-uk-wheat-and-barley-on-a-knife-edge-ahdb
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

A tight UK balance and strong export pace support UK wheat and barley prices, while higher feed costs squeeze livestock feed demand.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2026-05-28 | [Analyst insight: UK grain supplies tightening \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19332-analyst-insight-uk-grain-supplies-tightening-ahdb.md) | -2.8% | +0.2% |
| WHEAT | 2024-10-24 | [Tighter wheat and barley balance sheets in 2024/25: Grain market daily \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27936-tighter-wheat-and-barley-balance-sheets-in-2024-25-grain-market-daily-ahdb.md) | +0.3% | -1.4% |
| WHEAT | 2024-06-28 | [Canadian wheat and barley areas fall: Grain market daily \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29833-canadian-wheat-and-barley-areas-fall-grain-market-daily-ahdb.md) | -2.2% | +3.1% |
| WHEAT | 2022-06-14 | [UK grain trade, domestic wheat balance easing but barley tight: Grain market daily \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41006-uk-grain-trade-domestic-wheat-balance-easing-but-barley-tight-grain-market.md) | -1.6% | -13.3% |
| WHEAT | 2026-05-30 | [UK grain balance: updated outlook on wheat, barley and oats stocks \| NewsHub.co.uk](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19317-uk-grain-balance-updated-outlook-on-wheat-barley-and-oats-stocks-newshub-co-uk.md) | -2.6% | -0.5% |

## Sources

- ahdb.org.uk: https://ahdb.org.uk/news/analyst-insight-uk-wheat-and-barley-on-a-knife-edge

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.