# US Winter Wheat Production Won’t Ease Tight Global Supplies

> Gro Intelligence forecasts a double-digit percentage drop in US hard red winter wheat production based on its yield model. The analysis argues the US crop will not offset reduced Black Sea exports.

- Date: 2022-03-09 · published 2022-03-09T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/42322-us-winter-wheat-production-won-t-ease-tight-global-supplies
- Commodities: [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A sharp US HRW crop shortfall removes a potential offset to lost Black Sea supply, supporting higher wheat prices and feed grain costs.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- KWHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| KWHEAT | 2021-03-29 | [Outlook Dims for Global Spring Wheat Production](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48188-outlook-dims-for-global-spring-wheat-production.md) | -0.9% | +23.5% |
| KWHEAT | 2018-12-13 | [Global Production Continues to Decrease Due to Weather Problems in Australia and Russia - U.S. Wheat Associates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7510-global-production-continues-to-decrease-due-to-weather-problems-in-australia.md) | +5.1% | +4.3% |
| KWHEAT | 2017-09-21 | [U.S. winter wheat plantings might be smaller \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8511-u-s-winter-wheat-plantings-might-be-smaller-the-western-producer.md) | +2.5% | -4.5% |
| KWHEAT | 2023-08-02 | [Weather woes, Russia upend outlook for global wheat suppliers \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34622-weather-woes-russia-upend-outlook-for-global-wheat-suppliers-reuters.md) | -4.2% | -11.2% |
| KWHEAT | 2023-09-14 | [Tight global wheat story is stuck on repeat, supporting market bears  \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34029-tight-global-wheat-story-is-stuck-on-repeat-supporting-market-bears-reuters.md) | -1.1% | -9.5% |
| WHEAT | 2021-03-29 | [Outlook Dims for Global Spring Wheat Production](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48188-outlook-dims-for-global-spring-wheat-production.md) | -0.5% | +4.2% |
| WHEAT | 2022-06-16 | [Internal woes blunt Argentina’s wheat export clout amid tight global supplies - Fastmarkets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14031-internal-woes-blunt-argentina-s-wheat-export-clout-amid-tight-global-supplies.md) | -2.3% | -13.8% |
| WHEAT | 2021-05-06 | [Corn jumps 1.2% to 2013 high on tightening global supplies; wheat firms](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11302-corn-jumps-1-2-to-2013-high-on-tightening-global-supplies-wheat-firms.md) | +4.6% | -1.5% |

## Sources

- gro-intelligence.com: https://www.gro-intelligence.com/insights/us-winter-wheat-production-won-t-ease-tight-global-supplies

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.