# Supply shock caused by Russian invasion of Ukraine puts strain on various EU agri-food sectors

> The European Commission's spring 2022 short-term outlook says the Russian invasion of Ukraine has disrupted global agricultural markets and added uncertainty to grain and oilseed supplies. EU cereal production is projected at 297.7 million tonnes for 2022, which could partly offset the expected loss of Ukrainian grain exports.

- Date: 2022-04-05 · published 2022-04-05T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region EU · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/41780-supply-shock-caused-by-russian-invasion-of-ukraine-puts-strain-on-various-eu
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

A large EU harvest and lower feed demand from reduced pig production could cushion the global shortfall from Ukraine, limiting upside in grain and feed prices. Affordability concerns remain high.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: neutral
- CORN: neutral
- WHEAT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2022-04-04 | [Prospects for Australian Wheat Exports Amid the Ukraine-Russia Conflict —Australian Institute of International Affairs](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41820-prospects-for-australian-wheat-exports-amid-the-ukraine-russia-conflict.md) | -7.3% | -4.2% |
| WHEAT | 2022-11-01 | [More grain ships leave Ukraine ports despite Russian suspension \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14440-more-grain-ships-leave-ukraine-ports-despite-russian-suspension-reuters.md) | +7.3% | +7.7% |
| WHEAT | 2024-06-22 | [How Russia Exports Ukrainian Grain As Its Own: An Investigation](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14290-how-russia-exports-ukrainian-grain-as-its-own-an-investigation.md) | -6.8% | -2.9% |
| WHEAT | 2025-04-29 | [Ukraine arrests Russian "shadow fleet" ship](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14217-ukraine-arrests-russian-shadow-fleet-ship.md) | +2.1% | -2.8% |
| WHEAT | 2020-05-16 | [BlackSeaNews \| Russia's economic war against Ukraine in the Sea of Azov: "loosening the grip" or the fear of catching the virus? –  The monitoring for April 2020](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52979-blackseanews-russia-s-economic-war-against-ukraine-in-the-sea-of-azov-loosening.md) | +0.6% | +1.2% |
| CORN | 2025-03-25 | [Russia, Ukraine agree to avoid attacks on grain ships, energy infrastructure on Black Sea](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14219-russia-ukraine-agree-to-avoid-attacks-on-grain-ships-energy-infrastructure-on.md) | -1.5% | +3.1% |
| CORN | 2022-07-14 | [Wheat, soybeans fall on expectations of progress in Ukraine shipping talks - Supply Chain Council of European Union \| Scceu.org](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5976-wheat-soybeans-fall-on-expectations-of-progress-in-ukraine-shipping-talks.md) | -12.5% | -12.4% |
| CORN | 2022-11-01 | [More grain ships leave Ukraine ports despite Russian suspension \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14440-more-grain-ships-leave-ukraine-ports-despite-russian-suspension-reuters.md) | +0.0% | -2.8% |

## Sources

- agriculture.ec.europa.eu: https://agriculture.ec.europa.eu/media/news/supply-shock-caused-russian-invasion-ukraine-puts-strain-various-eu-agri-food-sectors-2022-04-05_en

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.