# East Africa - Seasonal outlook for the “short rains season”

> The WMO outlook for East Africa's October–December short rains season warns of a severe drought, likely the worst in 40 years after four poor seasons. Forecasts call for drier-than-normal conditions and above-average temperatures. The June–September season may see wetter conditions in northern parts of the region.

- Date: 2022-06-03 · published 2022-06-03T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region East Africa · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/40860-east-africa-seasonal-outlook-for-the-short-rains-season
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

Drought in East Africa increases regional dependence on imported grain and feed, supporting import demand. The effect on global prices is limited because the region's import volumes are small.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2018-03-06 | [Outlook for the 2018 growing season \| Climate and Agriculture in the Southeast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65927-outlook-for-the-2018-growing-season-climate-and-agriculture-in-the-southeast.md) | +2.7% | +5.3% |
| CORN | 2021-01-28 | [Early Safrinha Season Outlook in Brazil](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48973-early-safrinha-season-outlook-in-brazil.md) | +2.7% | -0.2% |
| CORN | 2016-06-23 | [Corn drops for 4th day as rains boost U.S. crop outlook](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9744-corn-drops-for-4th-day-as-rains-boost-u-s-crop-outlook.md) | -3.5% | -5.7% |
| CORN | 2024-01-11 | [Regional US Weather Outlook for 2024](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32046-regional-us-weather-outlook-for-2024.md) | -1.3% | -5.6% |
| CORN | 2025-07-25 | [Map: US Seasonal Drought Outlook ... \| Syngenta CA](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13073-map-us-seasonal-drought-outlook-syngenta-ca.md) | +0.8% | +0.1% |
| SOY | 2018-03-06 | [Outlook for the 2018 growing season \| Climate and Agriculture in the Southeast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65927-outlook-for-the-2018-growing-season-climate-and-agriculture-in-the-southeast.md) | -3.1% | -2.7% |
| SOY | 2021-01-28 | [Early Safrinha Season Outlook in Brazil](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48973-early-safrinha-season-outlook-in-brazil.md) | -0.3% | +2.3% |
| SOY | 2016-06-23 | [Corn drops for 4th day as rains boost U.S. crop outlook](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9744-corn-drops-for-4th-day-as-rains-boost-u-s-crop-outlook.md) | +0.6% | -9.2% |

## Sources

- wmo.int: https://wmo.int/media/news/east-africa-seasonal-outlook-short-rains-season

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.