# Copa and Cogeca’s crop forecasts: European cereal production seen as down with a more promising oilseed production, strongly depending on weather conditions - Agroportal

> Copa-Cogeca experts estimated EU-27 total cereal production at 277 million tonnes for 2022, 4.4% below the previous year. Common wheat output is seen at 123.4 million tonnes, and durum wheat is forecast to fall 14.6%, citing heat, rain deficits and hail.

- Date: 2022-07-01 · published 2022-07-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region EU · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/40424-copa-and-cogeca-s-crop-forecasts-european-cereal-production-seen-as-down-with-a
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

A lower EU cereal crop reduces feed grain availability in Europe and supports import demand, adding upward pressure on wheat and barley prices.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2026-06-05 | [Australia's winter crop production forecast to be down 21 per cent](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18772-australia-s-winter-crop-production-forecast-to-be-down-21-per-cent.md) | -0.4% | +1.5% |
| WHEAT | 2024-06-13 | [European soft wheat production forecast at 134.5 million tonnes](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29700-european-soft-wheat-production-forecast-at-134-5-million-tonnes.md) | -2.1% | -3.6% |
| WHEAT | 2019-11-13 | [Varied Conditions and Modest Prospects for Australia's Winter Crops
						 \| The Cattle Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56010-varied-conditions-and-modest-prospects-for-australia-s-winter-crops-the-cattle.md) | +3.2% | +0.0% |
| WHEAT | 2017-08-31 | [StatsCan production report: canola and wheat production down but soybeans production up big - RealAgriculture](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69432-statscan-production-report-canola-and-wheat-production-down-but-soybeans.md) | +0.5% | -2.7% |
| WHEAT | 2017-06-13 | [Commodity forecaster tipping cut to winter crop production, but still expected to be fifth largest harvest - ABC News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/70446-commodity-forecaster-tipping-cut-to-winter-crop-production-but-still-expected.md) | +0.8% | +2.2% |
| CORN | 2023-01-12 | [Corn and soybean production down in 2022, USDA reports
Corn stocks down, soybean stocks down from year earlier
Winter Wheat Seedings up for 2023](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13303-corn-and-soybean-production-down-in-2022-usda-reports-corn-stocks-down-soybean.md) | +2.2% | +2.2% |
| CORN | 2022-11-18 | [Commission publishes latest forecasts on EU feed protein production and trade  - Agriculture and rural development](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39002-commission-publishes-latest-forecasts-on-eu-feed-protein-production-and-trade.md) | -1.5% | -5.1% |
| CORN | 2020-10-09 | [U.S. Corn and Soybean Production Down from September](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50491-u-s-corn-and-soybean-production-down-from-september.md) | +3.7% | +7.4% |

## Sources

- agroportal.pt: https://www.agroportal.pt/copa-and-cogecas-crop-forecasts-european-cereal-production-seen-as-down-with-a-more-promising-oilseed-production-strongly-depending-on-weather-conditions/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.