# COCERAL lowers forecast for EU grain harvest | Miller Magazine

> COCERAL's fourth 2022 forecast puts the EU-27+UK total grain crop at 287.9 million tons, down from 309.8 million in 2021. EU corn is cut to 51.9 million tons from 70.2 million due to heat and drought during pollination, while wheat is lowered to 140.5 million tons. EU wheat exports are expected to reach a three-year high despite the smaller crop.

- Date: 2022-09-29 · published 2022-09-29T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region EU · magnitude high
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/39524-coceral-lowers-forecast-for-eu-grain-harvest-miller-magazine
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md)

## Why it matters

A much smaller EU corn crop tightens feed grain supply and supports corn and DDGS prices, while the strong EU wheat export pace reduces available supply for other buyers.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: neutral
- CANMEAL: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2026-10-01 | [COCERAL lowers EU grain output forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17429-coceral-lowers-eu-grain-output-forecast.md) | -1.4% | -6.4% |
| CORN | 2026-06-11 | [COCERAL advanced the forecast for the wheat harvest in the EU and UK in 2026](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18757-coceral-advanced-the-forecast-for-the-wheat-harvest-in-the-eu-and-uk-in-2026.md) | +0.4% | -0.5% |
| CORN | 2018-06-11 | [COCERAL forecasts lower E.U. crop production \| World-grain.com \| June 11, 2018 12:32 \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64474-coceral-forecasts-lower-e-u-crop-production-world-grain-com-june-11-2018-12-32.md) | -3.5% | -5.6% |
| CORN | 2026-06-11 | [COCERAL revises EU grains output lower \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18756-coceral-revises-eu-grains-output-lower-world-grain.md) | +2.0% | +1.3% |
| CORN | 2018-08-08 | [France's Latest Forecasts Show How Grain Crops Are Feeling The Heat \| ESM Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63467-france-s-latest-forecasts-show-how-grain-crops-are-feeling-the-heat-esm-magazine.md) | -8.2% | -9.1% |
| WHEAT | 2021-10-01 | [Coceral lowers EU grain production forecast \| Miller Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44482-coceral-lowers-eu-grain-production-forecast-miller-magazine.md) | +5.1% | +8.6% |
| WHEAT | 2026-10-01 | [COCERAL lowers EU grain output forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17429-coceral-lowers-eu-grain-output-forecast.md) | -3.1% | +1.1% |
| WHEAT | 2021-03-12 | [COCEREAL revises 2021 EU crop forecast lower  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48084-cocereal-revises-2021-eu-crop-forecast-lower-world-grain.md) | -0.3% | +0.5% |

## Sources

- millermagazine.com: https://millermagazine.com/en/blog/coceral-lowers-forecast-for-eu-grain-harvest-4769

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.