# September 2022 La Niña update: it’s Q & A time

> NOAA's Climate.gov update says La Niña is firmly established in the tropical Pacific, with August Niño-3.4 sea surface temperatures about 1.0 °C below average. It gives a 91% chance of La Niña through September-November and 80% through November-January, making a third consecutive La Niña winter very likely.

- Date: 2022-10-01 · published 2022-10-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/39501-september-2022-la-nina-update-it-s-q-and-a-time
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A confirmed third La Niña winter increases the odds of dry conditions in Argentina, southern Brazil and the US Plains, which could cut grain and oilseed output and support feed prices.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2022-11-10 | [November 2022 La Niña update: Let’s get some exercise \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38576-november-2022-la-nina-update-let-s-get-some-exercise-noaa-climate-gov.md) | +1.8% | -5.0% |
| CORN | 2022-04-01 | [March 2022 La Niña update: three-bean salad](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42193-march-2022-la-nina-update-three-bean-salad.md) | +3.3% | +5.2% |
| CORN | 2026-08-26 | [El Niño/La Niña Update (August 2026)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17828-el-nino-la-nina-update-august-2026.md) | +3.3% | +5.7% |
| CORN | 2020-05-28 | [El Niño / La Niña Update (May 2020)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53044-el-nino-la-nina-update-may-2020.md) | +1.0% | +1.7% |
| CORN | 2022-07-14 | [July 2022 La Niña update: comic timing \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40391-july-2022-la-nina-update-comic-timing-noaa-climate-gov.md) | -12.5% | -12.4% |
| SOY | 2022-11-10 | [November 2022 La Niña update: Let’s get some exercise \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38576-november-2022-la-nina-update-let-s-get-some-exercise-noaa-climate-gov.md) | -2.1% | +1.8% |
| SOY | 2022-04-01 | [March 2022 La Niña update: three-bean salad](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42193-march-2022-la-nina-update-three-bean-salad.md) | +1.7% | +5.6% |
| SOY | 2026-08-26 | [El Niño/La Niña Update (August 2026)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17828-el-nino-la-nina-update-august-2026.md) | +6.4% | +7.3% |

## Sources

- climate.gov: https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/september-2022-la-nina-update-its-q-time

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.