# UPDATE 2-French Wheat Export Forecast Raised Amid Ukraine Corridor Uncertainty

> FranceAgriMer raised its forecast for French soft wheat exports outside the EU to 10.1 million tonnes, up from 10.0 million, about 15% above last season. It cut the forecast for intra-EU soft wheat exports to 7.07 million tonnes and lowered projected end-season stocks to 2.13 million tonnes, citing a reduced harvest estimate.

- Date: 2022-10-12 · published 2022-10-12T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region EU · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/39063-update-2-french-wheat-export-forecast-raised-amid-ukraine-corridor-uncertainty
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Strong non-EU export demand supports wheat prices, but uncertainty over whether the Ukrainian Black Sea corridor is extended after late November could shift buyers toward EU origin and add volatility.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- KWHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2025-01-21 | [Export prices for barley in Ukraine reached the level of corn and feed wheat prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26576-export-prices-for-barley-in-ukraine-reached-the-level-of-corn-and-feed-wheat.md) | +3.4% | +5.7% |
| WHEAT | 2022-02-28 | [India's wheat exports set to surge amid Black Sea supply uncertainty \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42687-india-s-wheat-exports-set-to-surge-amid-black-sea-supply-uncertainty-reuters.md) | +12.1% | +26.0% |
| WHEAT | 2022-06-13 | [Forecast Indian wheat exports cut by 2Mt: WASDE - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40899-forecast-indian-wheat-exports-cut-by-2mt-wasde-grain-central.md) | +1.0% | -6.4% |
| WHEAT | 2019-10-08 | [Wheat exports from Ukrainian seaports dropped 2x — Latifundist.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56435-wheat-exports-from-ukrainian-seaports-dropped-2x-latifundist-com.md) | +4.5% | +2.1% |
| WHEAT | 2024-11-06 | [EXPORT UNCERTAINTIES – GrainsWest](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27386-export-uncertainties-grainswest.md) | -0.9% | -2.0% |
| KWHEAT | 2020-10-27 | [Demand-driven wheat rally supported by production uncertainty - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50675-demand-driven-wheat-rally-supported-by-production-uncertainty-grain-central.md) | +0.2% | -0.1% |
| KWHEAT | 2022-03-21 | [India to boost wheat exports to fill void left by Ukraine conflict 21.03.2022 - UkrAgroConsult](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42250-india-to-boost-wheat-exports-to-fill-void-left-by-ukraine-conflict-21-03-2022.md) | +3.8% | +10.7% |
| KWHEAT | 2020-01-06 | [Mid-Year Report: U.S. Wheat Export Pace Ahead of Last Year - U.S. Wheat Associates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55125-mid-year-report-u-s-wheat-export-pace-ahead-of-last-year-u-s-wheat-associates.md) | +4.2% | -1.7% |

## Sources

- agriculture.com: https://www.agriculture.com/markets/newswire/update-2-french-wheat-export-forecast-raised-amid-ukraine-corridor-uncertainty

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.