# La Nina-Enhanced Drought Brings Slow Start to Winter Wheat

> USDA's mid-October Ag in Drought report shows 70% of US winter wheat area in some stage of drought, versus 41% a year earlier. Seeding emergence in the southern Plains and Midwest is 10 to nearly 20 percent below average, and the 2022 harvest was down 14%.

- Date: 2022-10-21 · published 2022-10-21T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/39024-la-nina-enhanced-drought-brings-slow-start-to-winter-wheat
- Commodities: [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Poor establishment and a drought-hit winter wheat crop raise the risk of lower US wheat output in 2023, supporting HRW and SRW prices and feed-wheat competitiveness.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- KWHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| KWHEAT | 2022-04-13 | [U.S. Hard Red Winter Wheat in Drought Adds Supply Concerns](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41905-u-s-hard-red-winter-wheat-in-drought-adds-supply-concerns.md) | +0.1% | +2.1% |
| KWHEAT | 2018-03-13 | [Drought threat intensifies for U.S. Plains winter wheat crop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66052-drought-threat-intensifies-for-u-s-plains-winter-wheat-crop.md) | -7.6% | +2.5% |
| KWHEAT | 2017-12-15 | [La Niña expected to continue through winter - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/67402-la-nina-expected-to-continue-through-winter-brownfield-ag-news.md) | +5.4% | +4.8% |
| KWHEAT | 2021-12-01 | [Winter 2021-22: La Nina Sequel](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43521-winter-2021-22-la-nina-sequel.md) | +1.0% | +0.7% |
| KWHEAT | 2018-07-25 | [Drought forces Egypt to pay most for wheat since 2015 \| FMT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64072-drought-forces-egypt-to-pay-most-for-wheat-since-2015-fmt.md) | +9.2% | +4.9% |
| WHEAT | 2022-04-13 | [U.S. Hard Red Winter Wheat in Drought Adds Supply Concerns](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41905-u-s-hard-red-winter-wheat-in-drought-adds-supply-concerns.md) | -0.5% | +6.1% |
| WHEAT | 2018-03-13 | [Drought threat intensifies for U.S. Plains winter wheat crop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66052-drought-threat-intensifies-for-u-s-plains-winter-wheat-crop.md) | -1.6% | +0.5% |
| WHEAT | 2022-09-20 | [Winter drought rolls into third La Niña for Argentina - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14008-winter-drought-rolls-into-third-la-nina-for-argentina-grain-central.md) | +0.4% | -9.0% |

## Sources

- dtnpf.com: https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/ag/blogs/ag-weather-forum/blog-post/2022/10/21/la-nina-enhanced-drought-brings-slow-2

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.