# Expect bumper winter crop despite wet - The Guardian

> Rabobank's 2022/23 Australian Winter Crop Forecast had national output near a record 61.9 million tonnes, but record October rainfall, especially in Victoria and NSW, is changing the outlook. Queensland and NSW face yield and quality downgrades, while above-average rain is forecast for the Mallee.

- Date: 2022-11-05 · published 2022-11-05T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/38636-expect-bumper-winter-crop-despite-wet-the-guardian
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Flooding and quality downgrades in the east can cut milling and feed grain supply, which supports prices. Strong yields in the Mallee and Wimmera partly offset this, so the net effect on wheat and barley prices is mixed.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: neutral
- BARLEY: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2026-03-02 | [Winter crops fare well despite cold and wet episodes - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20113-winter-crops-fare-well-despite-cold-and-wet-episodes-joint-research-centre.md) | +1.6% | +0.1% |
| WHEAT | 2019-01-15 | [The winter crop that was: West trumps East in 2018 - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61049-the-winter-crop-that-was-west-trumps-east-in-2018-grain-central.md) | +3.3% | +2.7% |
| WHEAT | 2023-06-08 | [Hello, El Niño – What To Expect for the 2023 Crop - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35411-hello-el-nino-what-to-expect-for-the-2023-crop-agweb.md) | -0.0% | +2.9% |
| WHEAT | 2019-10-30 | [Central Queensland winter crop defies eastern drought - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56536-central-queensland-winter-crop-defies-eastern-drought-grain-central.md) | -0.2% | +7.3% |
| WHEAT | 2019-07-16 | [2019 winter crop a mixed bag \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58038-2019-winter-crop-a-mixed-bag-farm-online-act.md) | -3.3% | -2.9% |

## Sources

- theguardian.com.au: https://theguardian.com.au/farming-and-environment/2022/11/05/expect-bumper-winter-crop-despite-wet/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.