# Exceptionally warm autumn raises concerns in the south of Europe - Joint Research Centre

> The JRC MARS Bulletin reports that 1 October to 14 November 2022 was the warmest period in European records since 1991. Warm weather aided winter crop emergence, but southern Europe faces persistent rainfall deficits, delayed sowing and drought concerns in the Maghreb.

- Date: 2022-11-21 · published 2022-11-21T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Europe · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/38616-exceptionally-warm-autumn-raises-concerns-in-the-south-of-europe-joint-research
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Dry conditions in southern Europe and North Africa raise risk to winter cereal yields and Maghreb import demand, a mild upside driver for wheat and barley prices.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2026-04-02 | [Raising energy and fertilizer prices and upcoming El Niño main concerns to farming  - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19632-raising-energy-and-fertilizer-prices-and-upcoming-el-nino-main-concerns-to.md) | -1.7% | +1.6% |
| WHEAT | 2025-04-02 | [ASAP assessment March 2025 - Joint Research Centre - European Commission](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25034-asap-assessment-march-2025-joint-research-centre-european-commission.md) | -0.8% | +1.9% |
| WHEAT | 2026-09-04 | [El Niño drives crop failure in Central America and East Africa and threatens the next season in Southern Africa, East Africa, Western South America, and Southeast Asia - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17395-el-nino-drives-crop-failure-in-central-america-and-east-africa-and-threatens.md) | +1.4% | +0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2025-12-04 | [ASAP assessment November 2025 - Joint Research Centre - European Commission](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21416-asap-assessment-november-2025-joint-research-centre-european-commission.md) | -1.6% | -1.4% |
| WHEAT | 2026-05-06 | [Widespread ASAP forecast warnings on crops for second half of the year due to upcoming El Niño conditions - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19186-widespread-asap-forecast-warnings-on-crops-for-second-half-of-the-year-due-to.md) | +3.3% | +0.0% |

## Sources

- joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu: https://joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu/jrc-news-and-updates/exceptionally-warm-autumn-raises-concerns-south-europe-2022-11-21_en

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.