# Will Volatility and Uncertainty Delay the Next Cattle Cycle? - Drovers

> Rabobank analysts say the next U.S. cow herd expansion will face headwinds including elevated beef production, higher interest rates, higher feed costs and demographic factors. They expect producers to remain two years or more from shifting to expansion, with rebuilding starting in 2025 at the earliest. The report suggests a slower and more cautious herd recovery.

- Date: 2023-01-31 · published 2023-01-31T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/37931-will-volatility-and-uncertainty-delay-the-next-cattle-cycle-drovers
- Commodities: [Live Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/LCATTLE.md), [Feeder Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/FCATTLE.md)

## Why it matters

A delayed herd rebuild keeps beef supply tight for longer, supporting cattle prices, while higher financing and feed costs raise price risk for producers and processors.

## Read by commodity

- FCATTLE: bullish ▲
- LCATTLE: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| LCATTLE | 2026-08-31 | [Experts expect cattle market volatility to persist](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18025-experts-expect-cattle-market-volatility-to-persist.md) | -2.7% | -0.8% |
| LCATTLE | 2024-09-19 | [What is Next for the Cattle Markets? - ProAg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28453-what-is-next-for-the-cattle-markets-proag.md) | +1.9% | +3.8% |
| LCATTLE | 2023-05-31 | [The Cattle and Beef Margin Squeeze: Peel](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5226-the-cattle-and-beef-margin-squeeze-peel.md) | +4.1% | +4.4% |
| LCATTLE | 2016-11-07 | [Cattle Outlook: Unemployment Decline Good for Meat Demand
						 \| The Cattle Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73969-cattle-outlook-unemployment-decline-good-for-meat-demand-the-cattle-site.md) | +1.2% | +8.2% |
| LCATTLE | 2023-07-19 | [Comparing the current feeder cattle market to 2014 and 2015](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35184-comparing-the-current-feeder-cattle-market-to-2014-and-2015.md) | -0.3% | -0.2% |
| FCATTLE | 2026-08-31 | [Experts expect cattle market volatility to persist](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18025-experts-expect-cattle-market-volatility-to-persist.md) | +1.2% | +3.4% |
| FCATTLE | 2024-09-19 | [What is Next for the Cattle Markets? - ProAg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28453-what-is-next-for-the-cattle-markets-proag.md) | +1.1% | +1.3% |
| FCATTLE | 2023-05-31 | [The Cattle and Beef Margin Squeeze: Peel](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5226-the-cattle-and-beef-margin-squeeze-peel.md) | -0.0% | +1.3% |

## Sources

- drovers.com: https://www.drovers.com/news/beef-production/will-volatility-and-uncertainty-delay-next-cattle-cycle

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.