# Weather Outlook Through Summer 2023 Points to Variability as La Nina Starts Decline

> DTN meteorologist John Baranick reports that the Climate Forecast System expects ENSO to move from La Niña into neutral conditions through spring and summer 2023. He expects a more variable weather pattern across North America once La Niña loses its grip.

- Date: 2023-02-01 · published 2023-02-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/37710-weather-outlook-through-summer-2023-points-to-variability-as-la-nina-starts
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

A move to neutral weather in the US summer reduces the risk of drought in key growing areas, which is generally bearish for corn and soybean prices. Weather-driven volatility could still increase.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2021-12-27 | [La Nina, Drought Highlight Weather Events in 2021](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13399-la-nina-drought-highlight-weather-events-in-2021.md) | -1.3% | +3.3% |
| CORN | 2025-11-07 | [Wet Argentine farmland offsets drier La Nina outlook \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13825-wet-argentine-farmland-offsets-drier-la-nina-outlook-reuters.md) | +2.7% | +3.4% |
| CORN | 2017-04-06 | [El Niño Outlook for April 2017 \| WeatherTiger](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71427-el-nino-outlook-for-april-2017-weathertiger.md) | +0.6% | -0.3% |
| CORN | 2023-08-01 | [Tough summer hits EU grain production outlook - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34513-tough-summer-hits-eu-grain-production-outlook-grain-central.md) | -2.3% | -2.8% |
| CORN | 2020-04-03 | [Weather outlook indicates trendline yields](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53487-weather-outlook-indicates-trendline-yields.md) | -0.6% | -8.4% |
| SOY | 2017-04-06 | [El Niño Outlook for April 2017 \| WeatherTiger](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71427-el-nino-outlook-for-april-2017-weathertiger.md) | +0.4% | +2.2% |
| SOY | 2024-01-11 | [Regional US Weather Outlook for 2024](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32046-regional-us-weather-outlook-for-2024.md) | -1.2% | -2.9% |
| SOY | 2025-08-14 | [Indiana Corn, Soybean Crops Feel the Heat and Variability of Late Planting](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13068-indiana-corn-soybean-crops-feel-the-heat-and-variability-of-late-planting.md) | -0.8% | -0.8% |

## Sources

- dtnpf.com: https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/ag/blogs/ag-weather-forum/blog-post/2023/01/09/weather-outlook-summer-2023-points

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.