# What is El Niño, and how does it affect the weather and temperatures?

> The BBC reports that NOAA and the Japan Meteorological Agency say El Niño conditions have begun in the Pacific. Scientists warn it could strengthen considerably, partly because deep Pacific waters are unusually warm.

- Date: 2023-01-10 · published 2023-01-10T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/37701-what-is-el-nino-and-how-does-it-affect-the-weather-and-temperatures
- Commodities: [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

El Niño typically brings drought risk to Australia, India, Southeast Asia and southern Africa, which can tighten palm oil, rice, wheat and feed supplies. A strong event would be bullish for these crops over time.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- PALMOIL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| PALMOIL | 2026-03-12 | [El Niño Threatens Higher Global Temperatures, Crop Disruption This Year - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20085-el-nino-threatens-higher-global-temperatures-crop-disruption-this-year-bloomberg.md) | +0.9% | +3.9% |
| PALMOIL | 2026-09-04 | [Will a ‘Super’ El Niño Impact the Weather and Food Production in 2026? - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17398-will-a-super-el-nino-impact-the-weather-and-food-production-in-2026-bloomberg.md) | -1.4% | -8.8% |
| PALMOIL | 2023-06-08 | [Hello, El Niño – What To Expect for the 2023 Crop - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35411-hello-el-nino-what-to-expect-for-the-2023-crop-agweb.md) | +2.1% | +14.6% |
| PALMOIL | 2018-09-10 | [New El Niño weather event likely this winter says WMO](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62950-new-el-nino-weather-event-likely-this-winter-says-wmo.md) | -1.2% | -2.4% |
| PALMOIL | 2026-04-24 | [Explainer: How El Nino could impact the world's weather in 2026/27 \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19629-explainer-how-el-nino-could-impact-the-world-s-weather-in-2026-27-reuters.md) | -0.0% | -1.4% |
| WHEAT | 2026-03-12 | [El Niño Threatens Higher Global Temperatures, Crop Disruption This Year - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20085-el-nino-threatens-higher-global-temperatures-crop-disruption-this-year-bloomberg.md) | -0.2% | -2.1% |
| WHEAT | 2018-05-29 | [Wheat prices are rising because of the hot and dry weather](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65065-wheat-prices-are-rising-because-of-the-hot-and-dry-weather.md) | -0.9% | -2.8% |
| WHEAT | 2026-06-01 | [Record global temperatures possible as chance of a 'super El Niño' grows](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19192-record-global-temperatures-possible-as-chance-of-a-super-el-nino-grows.md) | -2.6% | -1.5% |

## Sources

- bbc.com: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cj97npgk92po

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.