# Phosphorus price spikes: A wake-up call for phosphorus resilience

> A Frontiers paper reports that since 2020 pandemic, geopolitical disputes, trade wars and fuel prices drove a more than 400% rise in phosphorus commodity prices. It argues the Russia-Ukraine conflict further disrupted phosphate trade and that nations are largely unaware of their phosphorus vulnerability.

- Date: 2023-03-01 · published 2023-03-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/37649-phosphorus-price-spikes-a-wake-up-call-for-phosphorus-resilience
- Commodities: [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md), [Phosphate Rock](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PHOSROCK.md)

## Why it matters

Persistent phosphorus vulnerability supports higher fertilizer and phosphate costs over time, which feeds into crop production costs. This is an academic analysis of past price moves rather than a fresh supply shock.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- PHOSROCK: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DAP | 2021-03-17 | [UAN28 Leads Fertilizer Prices Higher as Nitrogen Prices Spike](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48434-uan28-leads-fertilizer-prices-higher-as-nitrogen-prices-spike.md) | +0.7% | +2.1% |
| DAP | 2026-09-05 | [CoBank warns higher fertilizer prices are structural as phosphate capacity forecast drops 13%](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17780-cobank-warns-higher-fertilizer-prices-are-structural-as-phosphate-capacity.md) | +0.9% | +1.3% |
| DAP | 2021-12-17 | [Fertilizer Prices Spike and Will Continue Rallying Next Year - News and Statistics - IndexBox](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43921-fertilizer-prices-spike-and-will-continue-rallying-next-year-news-and.md) | +0.1% | -3.8% |
| DAP | 2026-02-25 | [U.S. Fertilizer Prices Rise for Second Week as Urea Leads Nitrogen Rally](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20928-u-s-fertilizer-prices-rise-for-second-week-as-urea-leads-nitrogen-rally.md) | +4.7% | +4.5% |
| DAP | 2025-03-20 | [High global phosphate prices pose potential food security risks \| IFPRI](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25903-high-global-phosphate-prices-pose-potential-food-security-risks-ifpri.md) | +0.2% | +2.5% |

## Sources

- frontiersin.org: https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/sustainable-food-systems/articles/10.3389/fsufs.2023.1088776/full

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.