# Transition from La Niña to El Niño may be quick | World Grain

> La Niña is weakening and expected to dissipate this spring, with some computer models suggesting a quick transition to El Niño over the coming months. Lighter-than-usual rainfall is likely in Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, mainland Southeast Asia and parts of India this summer.

- Date: 2023-03-09 · published 2023-03-09T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/36755-transition-from-la-nina-to-el-nino-may-be-quick-world-grain
- Commodities: [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md), [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

Dryness in Southeast Asian palm oil and rice areas and India could tighten supplies later this year, supporting palm oil and rice prices if El Niño verifies.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: bullish ▲
- PALMOIL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| PALMOIL | 2023-03-16 | [A quick transition from La Niña to El Niño could lower global crop production   - Milling Middle East & Africa Magazine - No.1 Grains Industry Magazine & Website for Africa & the Middle East](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36761-a-quick-transition-from-la-nina-to-el-nino-could-lower-global-crop-production.md) | -3.1% | -6.9% |
| PALMOIL | 2026-05-29 | [WMO: El Niño/La Niña Update (May 2026) - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18730-wmo-el-nino-la-nina-update-may-2026-world-reliefweb.md) | +0.6% | -2.0% |
| PALMOIL | 2018-09-19 | [El Niño looming \| 2018-09-19 \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62946-el-nino-looming-2018-09-19-world-grain.md) | -0.6% | -0.6% |
| PALMOIL | 2017-04-28 | [WMO El Niño/La Niña Update, 28 April 2017 - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71424-wmo-el-nino-la-nina-update-28-april-2017-world-reliefweb.md) | +0.7% | +4.0% |
| PALMOIL | 2018-09-10 | [WMO El Niño/La Niña Update (September 2018) - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62947-wmo-el-nino-la-nina-update-september-2018-world-reliefweb.md) | -1.2% | -2.4% |
| RICE | 2023-03-16 | [A quick transition from La Niña to El Niño could lower global crop production   - Milling Middle East & Africa Magazine - No.1 Grains Industry Magazine & Website for Africa & the Middle East](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36761-a-quick-transition-from-la-nina-to-el-nino-could-lower-global-crop-production.md) | -0.1% | +1.6% |
| RICE | 2026-05-29 | [WMO: El Niño/La Niña Update (May 2026) - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18730-wmo-el-nino-la-nina-update-may-2026-world-reliefweb.md) | -4.1% | +1.3% |
| RICE | 2023-09-28 | [Risks to global food commodity prices from El Niño](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33997-risks-to-global-food-commodity-prices-from-el-nino.md) | -3.3% | -0.3% |

## Sources

- world-grain.com: https://www.world-grain.com/articles/18212-transition-from-la-nina-to-el-nino-may-be-quick

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.