# India may reduce wheat output estimate due to unseasonal showers, hail

> Indian government sources said the 2022-23 wheat harvest estimate could be cut by 1-2 million mt from 112.2 million mt after unseasonal showers and hail damaged crops in Punjab, Uttar Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh. Market analysts already view the official estimate as too high, with independent expectations of 107-108 million mt.

- Date: 2023-04-03 · published 2023-04-03T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region India · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/36363-india-may-reduce-wheat-output-estimate-due-to-unseasonal-showers-hail
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Lower Indian wheat output reduces exportable supply and could firm global wheat prices, though the export ban limits direct export effects.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2023-03-22 | [Showers, hailstorms raise concerns over India’s wheat crop despite receding heatwave](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36812-showers-hailstorms-raise-concerns-over-india-s-wheat-crop-despite-receding.md) | +11.0% | +4.2% |
| WHEAT | 2024-03-11 | [Erratic Weather Lowers India’s Chance to Reap Record Wheat Crop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31140-erratic-weather-lowers-india-s-chance-to-reap-record-wheat-crop.md) | -7.3% | -3.6% |
| WHEAT | 2024-05-02 | [Ukraine's grain exports to drop in MY 2024-25 amid lower supply, smaller output estimate](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14302-ukraine-s-grain-exports-to-drop-in-my-2024-25-amid-lower-supply-smaller-output.md) | +2.1% | +14.9% |
| WHEAT | 2022-07-28 | [India: First wheat, now rice — hit by bad weather, output could fall by ‘10 mn tonnes’ this season 28.07.2022 - UkrAgroConsult](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40459-india-first-wheat-now-rice-hit-by-bad-weather-output-could-fall-by-10-mn-tonnes.md) | +4.6% | +0.7% |
| WHEAT | 2018-12-03 | [India's 2019 wheat output could fall from record on scanty rains](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61543-india-s-2019-wheat-output-could-fall-from-record-on-scanty-rains.md) | +0.9% | +1.8% |

## Sources

- ukragroconsult.com: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/india-may-reduce-wheat-output-estimate-due-to-unseasonal-showers-hail/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.