# El Niño could bring severe weather, impacting U.S. grain | Feed & Grain

> Climate models suggest El Niño could return by late 2023 after three years of La Niña, bringing hotter temperatures, drought and wildfire risk. The article cites a 62% chance of El Niño for May–July and links the pattern to possible record global temperatures.

- Date: 2023-04-20 · published 2023-04-20T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/36315-el-nino-could-bring-severe-weather-impacting-u-s-grain-feed-and-grain
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

Expectations of hotter, drier conditions in key growing regions could raise weather risk premiums for US and global grain markets later in the season.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2026-04-24 | [Explainer: How El Nino could impact the world's weather in 2026/27 \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19629-explainer-how-el-nino-could-impact-the-world-s-weather-in-2026-27-reuters.md) | +1.2% | +2.2% |
| CORN | 2022-05-17 | [Weather problems impacting the Americas \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13722-weather-problems-impacting-the-americas-world-grain.md) | -1.6% | -4.7% |
| CORN | 2024-05-10 | [Hot and Dry Weather Impacting Safrinha Corn in Brazil](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13570-hot-and-dry-weather-impacting-safrinha-corn-in-brazil.md) | +2.4% | +2.7% |
| CORN | 2026-09-04 | [Will a ‘Super’ El Niño Impact the Weather and Food Production in 2026? - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17398-will-a-super-el-nino-impact-the-weather-and-food-production-in-2026-bloomberg.md) | +0.5% | +1.9% |
| CORN | 2026-04-09 | [Rising Odds of Strong El Niño Point to Global Weather and Crop Impacts - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19631-rising-odds-of-strong-el-nino-point-to-global-weather-and-crop-impacts-bloomberg.md) | +0.9% | +1.5% |
| SOY | 2026-09-04 | [Will a ‘Super’ El Niño Impact the Weather and Food Production in 2026? - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17398-will-a-super-el-nino-impact-the-weather-and-food-production-in-2026-bloomberg.md) | -2.0% | -2.1% |
| SOY | 2026-04-09 | [Rising Odds of Strong El Niño Point to Global Weather and Crop Impacts - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19631-rising-odds-of-strong-el-nino-point-to-global-weather-and-crop-impacts-bloomberg.md) | +0.4% | +1.5% |
| SOY | 2020-10-14 | [How Brazil’s weather woes could boost U.S. farm incomes](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50485-how-brazil-s-weather-woes-could-boost-u-s-farm-incomes.md) | +1.9% | +9.0% |

## Sources

- feedandgrain.com: https://www.feedandgrain.com/blogs/feed-grain-pov/blog/15384043/el-nio-could-bring-severe-weather-impacting-us-grain

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.