# ‘Developing’ El Nino may hit India’s maize, soya and rice output, says FAO   - The HinduBusinessLine

> FAO's AMIS Market Monitor said El Niño is likely to develop after three years of La Niña and could hit maize, soybean and rice output in India, northern China, southern Mexico, northeast Brazil, Indonesia and West Africa. Based on history, El Niño tends to slightly improve global soybean yields while reducing maize, rice and wheat yields. Impacts depend on the event's strength and duration.

- Date: 2023-05-05 · published 2023-05-05T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region India and Asia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/35870-developing-el-nino-may-hit-india-s-maize-soya-and-rice-output-says-fao-the
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

Lower maize and rice yields in several major producing areas would tighten supplies for feed buyers, supporting corn and rice prices, while soybean effects are expected to be smaller.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: bullish ▲
- RICE: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2026-06-02 | [India cuts foodgrains output target amid below normal monsoon forecast - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18741-india-cuts-foodgrains-output-target-amid-below-normal-monsoon-forecast-the.md) | -4.9% | -8.5% |
| CORN | 2026-10-27 | [From maize to coffee, El Nino likely to affect various crops across the world - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17051-from-maize-to-coffee-el-nino-likely-to-affect-various-crops-across-the-world.md) | +0.0% | — |
| CORN | 2020-09-11 | [La Nina may disrupt global food supply  - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51042-la-nina-may-disrupt-global-food-supply-the-hindubusinessline.md) | +4.5% | +5.3% |
| CORN | 2021-01-04 | [La Nina to take hold of agri markets in 2021  - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5000-la-nina-to-take-hold-of-agri-markets-in-2021-the-hindubusinessline.md) | +5.3% | +17.8% |
| CORN | 2026-03-20 | [Chicken prices soar in India on bird mortality, reduced weight  - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20308-chicken-prices-soar-in-india-on-bird-mortality-reduced-weight-the.md) | -0.1% | -3.2% |
| RICE | 2023-02-27 | [What if El Nino materialises in 2023? - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37250-what-if-el-nino-materialises-in-2023-the-hindubusinessline.md) | +1.2% | +6.4% |
| RICE | 2023-07-14 | [Indian rice prices up 10% in global market, affect export demand - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5097-indian-rice-prices-up-10-in-global-market-affect-export-demand-the.md) | -16.0% | -15.2% |
| RICE | 2023-03-10 | [Shadow of El Nino over growth - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36764-shadow-of-el-nino-over-growth-the-hindubusinessline.md) | +8.0% | +3.9% |

## Sources

- thehindubusinessline.com: https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/agri-business/developing-el-nino-may-hit-indias-maize-soya-and-rice-output-says-fao/article66816917.ece

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.
