# El Nino seen posing larger risk for robusta coffee, less to arabica | Reuters

> Reuters reported that El Niño, widely expected to develop in the second half of 2023, poses a bigger production risk to robusta coffee than to arabica. Vietnam and Brazil, the two largest robusta producers, could suffer yield losses under a strong event. Analysts said this could tighten supplies and raise robusta prices.

- Date: 2023-05-25 · published 2023-05-25T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Vietnam and Brazil · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/35869-el-nino-seen-posing-larger-risk-for-robusta-coffee-less-to-arabica-reuters
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

Yield losses in Vietnam and Brazil would tighten robusta supply and support prices, though coffee is outside the feed-commodity complex this service tracks.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2024-05-09 | [El Nino to end by June, La Nina seen in second half of 2024, says U.S. forecaster \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30149-el-nino-to-end-by-june-la-nina-seen-in-second-half-of-2024-says-u-s-forecaster.md) | +2.7% | +0.5% |
| CORN | 2024-02-07 | [Shift from El Nino to La Nina portends rains in Asia, dryness in Americas \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31585-shift-from-el-nino-to-la-nina-portends-rains-in-asia-dryness-in-americas-reuters.md) | -1.1% | +0.3% |
| CORN | 2026-02-12 | [US forecaster sees signs of La Nina shift towards El Nino conditions in early 2026 \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20517-us-forecaster-sees-signs-of-la-nina-shift-towards-el-nino-conditions-in-early.md) | -0.0% | +3.5% |
| CORN | 2024-11-14 | [US forecaster sees 57% chance of La Nina developing between now and December \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27326-us-forecaster-sees-57-chance-of-la-nina-developing-between-now-and-december.md) | +0.2% | +0.4% |
| CORN | 2024-12-04 | [La Nina could thwart Argentina's run at bumper crops  \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13888-la-nina-could-thwart-argentina-s-run-at-bumper-crops-reuters.md) | +4.5% | +7.4% |
| SOY | 2024-05-09 | [El Nino to end by June, La Nina seen in second half of 2024, says U.S. forecaster \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30149-el-nino-to-end-by-june-la-nina-seen-in-second-half-of-2024-says-u-s-forecaster.md) | +0.1% | -1.1% |
| SOY | 2024-02-07 | [Shift from El Nino to La Nina portends rains in Asia, dryness in Americas \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31585-shift-from-el-nino-to-la-nina-portends-rains-in-asia-dryness-in-americas-reuters.md) | -1.1% | -4.9% |
| SOY | 2026-02-12 | [US forecaster sees signs of La Nina shift towards El Nino conditions in early 2026 \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20517-us-forecaster-sees-signs-of-la-nina-shift-towards-el-nino-conditions-in-early.md) | +1.5% | +7.9% |

## Sources

- reuters.com: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/el-nino-seen-posing-larger-risk-robusta-coffee-less-arabica-2023-05-25/

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.