# What an El Niño could mean for food prices - EPIC

> An EPIC article on El Niño said the coming event could reduce US agricultural production, with the Central Plains possibly drier and warmer and the Southeast wetter. Researchers noted that El Niño can also benefit some crops and growing seasons. The article points to effects of human-caused climate change on production.

- Date: 2023-05-05 · published 2023-05-05T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/35868-what-an-el-nino-could-mean-for-food-prices-epic
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

Expected US production shortfalls would be a supply risk for feed grains, but the mixed crop effects and uncertain timing limit the near-term price signal.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2018-08-10 | [El Niño forecast may mean better maize prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63455-el-nino-forecast-may-mean-better-maize-prices.md) | -7.5% | -9.1% |
| CORN | 2025-03-03 | [What La Nina’s departure could mean for U.S. ag](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25498-what-la-nina-s-departure-could-mean-for-u-s-ag.md) | -0.2% | +2.5% |
| CORN | 2019-10-29 | [Falling Corn Surplus Could Mean Higher Food Prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56588-falling-corn-surplus-could-mean-higher-food-prices.md) | +2.7% | +1.1% |
| CORN | 2023-09-28 | [Risks to global food commodity prices from El Niño](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33997-risks-to-global-food-commodity-prices-from-el-nino.md) | +1.1% | +1.7% |
| CORN | 2026-09-17 | [El Niño Could Create Grains Price Advantage for Brazil \| CZ app](https://feedsoft.ai/events/16770-el-nino-could-create-grains-price-advantage-for-brazil-cz-app.md) | +0.1% | -4.4% |
| SOY | 2025-03-03 | [What La Nina’s departure could mean for U.S. ag](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25498-what-la-nina-s-departure-could-mean-for-u-s-ag.md) | -0.1% | +1.1% |
| SOY | 2023-09-28 | [Risks to global food commodity prices from El Niño](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33997-risks-to-global-food-commodity-prices-from-el-nino.md) | -2.3% | -1.2% |
| SOY | 2026-09-17 | [El Niño Could Create Grains Price Advantage for Brazil \| CZ app](https://feedsoft.ai/events/16770-el-nino-could-create-grains-price-advantage-for-brazil-cz-app.md) | -0.1% | -2.1% |

## Sources

- epic.uchicago.edu: https://epic.uchicago.edu/news/what-an-el-nino-could-mean-for-food-prices/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.