# After mixed euro zone inflation data, where do ECB interest rate odds stand now?

> Mixed August euro zone inflation data showed headline CPI steady at 5.3% while core inflation eased from 5.5% to 5.3%. Austrian central bank governor Holzmann said rates had not peaked and expected one or two more hikes. Markets priced a 30% chance of an ECB hike in September, down from 40%, and the euro fell nearly 0.6%.

- Date: 2023-08-31 · published 2023-08-31T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region Europe · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/34813-after-mixed-euro-zone-inflation-data-where-do-ecb-interest-rate-odds-stand-now
- Commodities: [Euro (USD per EUR)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/EURUSD.md), [US Dollar (Broad)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DXY.md)

## Why it matters

Lower odds of further ECB tightening support the dollar and pressure the euro, which can make dollar-priced feed imports relatively more expensive for European buyers. The effect on feed prices is small.

## Read by commodity

- DXY: bullish ▲
- EURUSD: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| EURUSD | 2024-12-12 | [Dollar higher on fresh inflation data, euro lower after ECB rate cut](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27173-dollar-higher-on-fresh-inflation-data-euro-lower-after-ecb-rate-cut.md) | -0.4% | -2.6% |
| EURUSD | 2026-05-20 | [Euro hits fresh six-week lows after Eurozone's final inflation data](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19474-euro-hits-fresh-six-week-lows-after-eurozone-s-final-inflation-data.md) | +0.2% | -0.1% |
| EURUSD | 2022-09-30 | [Dollar gains on euro after inflation data, sterling falls](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39798-dollar-gains-on-euro-after-inflation-data-sterling-falls.md) | +0.3% | +1.6% |
| EURUSD | 2022-03-10 | [Euro eases after ECB meeting, while dollar firms following inflation data \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9527-euro-eases-after-ecb-meeting-while-dollar-firms-following-inflation-data-reuters.md) | -0.7% | -1.4% |
| EURUSD | 2017-01-30 | [Euro hits 11-day low after German inflation data miss](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73169-euro-hits-11-day-low-after-german-inflation-data-miss.md) | +1.0% | -0.6% |
| DXY | 2024-12-12 | [Dollar higher on fresh inflation data, euro lower after ECB rate cut](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27173-dollar-higher-on-fresh-inflation-data-euro-lower-after-ecb-rate-cut.md) | +0.6% | +2.4% |
| DXY | 2026-05-20 | [Euro hits fresh six-week lows after Eurozone's final inflation data](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19474-euro-hits-fresh-six-week-lows-after-eurozone-s-final-inflation-data.md) | -0.2% | -0.1% |
| DXY | 2022-03-10 | [Euro eases after ECB meeting, while dollar firms following inflation data \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9527-euro-eases-after-ecb-meeting-while-dollar-firms-following-inflation-data-reuters.md) | +0.2% | -0.5% |

## Sources

- economies.com: https://www.economies.com/forex/eur-usd-news/after-mixed-euro-zone-inflation-data,-where-do-ecb-interest-rate-odds-stand-now-43312

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.