# Canada Know-Risk Market Outlook | Stats Canada Lowers Wheat, Canola, Barley & Oats Production

> StatsCan model-based estimates put Canadian wheat at 29.5 MMT, about 1 MMT below expectations, durum down 26.4%, and oats down 53.5% to 2.4 MMT. Barley output is projected down 20.7%, while canola is 17.6 MMT in line with estimates.

- Date: 2023-08-29 · published 2023-08-29T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Canada · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/34644-canada-know-risk-market-outlook-stats-canada-lowers-wheat-canola-barley-and
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Oats](https://feedsoft.ai/c/OATS.md), [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md)

## Why it matters

Smaller Canadian wheat, barley and oat crops reduce feed grain availability and support prices for these grains. Canola supply is steady, so meal prices are less affected.

## Read by commodity

- OATS: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲
- CANMEAL: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2025-08-28 | [Canada wheat, barley production down, canola and oats up, according to StatsCan survey \| MarketScreener](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23369-canada-wheat-barley-production-down-canola-and-oats-up-according-to-statscan.md) | +0.1% | -0.7% |
| WHEAT | 2021-12-03 | [StatsCan Canola, Wheat Production Numbers Drop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43660-statscan-canola-wheat-production-numbers-drop.md) | -1.5% | -3.7% |
| WHEAT | 2017-03-27 | [Wheat Market Outlook – March 27th, 2017 \| Sask Wheat](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72045-wheat-market-outlook-march-27th-2017-sask-wheat.md) | +2.4% | +3.1% |
| WHEAT | 2024-04-29 | [Wheat Market Outlook – April 29, 2024 \| Sask Wheat](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30780-wheat-market-outlook-april-29-2024-sask-wheat.md) | -1.8% | +21.1% |
| WHEAT | 2019-07-29 | [Wheat Market Outlook – July 29th, 2019 \| Sask Wheat](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58135-wheat-market-outlook-july-29th-2019-sask-wheat.md) | +0.7% | -1.2% |
| OATS | 2026-10-06 | [Canada Know-Risk Market Outlook \| Oats Knows?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17165-canada-know-risk-market-outlook-oats-knows.md) | -1.5% | -17.5% |
| OATS | 2021-12-03 | [StatsCan Canola, Wheat Production Numbers Drop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43660-statscan-canola-wheat-production-numbers-drop.md) | -2.9% | -7.8% |
| OATS | 2024-07-02 | [Canadian wheat and barley areas fall: Grain market daily](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29320-canadian-wheat-and-barley-areas-fall-grain-market-daily.md) | -2.5% | +3.2% |

## Sources

- stonex.com: https://www.stonex.com/en-us/insights/canada-know-risk-market-outlook-stats-canada-lowers-wheat-canola-barley-oats-production/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.