# SA winter crop forecast at 8.8Mt: PIRSA - Grain Central

> South Australia's Primary Industries and Regions SA forecasts a 2023-24 winter crop of 8.8 million tonnes, down 33% from last year's record 12.8 million. Barley area continues to shrink in favour of wheat, and concern remains about a drier late winter and spring linked to an El Niño alert.

- Date: 2023-08-22 · published 2023-08-22T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/34525-sa-winter-crop-forecast-at-8-8mt-pirsa-grain-central
- Commodities: [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A one-third drop in South Australian winter grain supply tightens feed grain availability, supporting barley and wheat prices for export buyers.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2017-09-12 | [Forecast decrease for winter crop production: ABARES - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68910-forecast-decrease-for-winter-crop-production-abares-grain-central.md) | +1.0% | +4.5% |
| WHEAT | 2018-10-10 | [Eastern drought pushes Australian winter crop forecast lower - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62503-eastern-drought-pushes-australian-winter-crop-forecast-lower-grain-central.md) | +8.2% | +4.5% |
| WHEAT | 2020-01-17 | [South Australia estimates winter crop at 6.25Mt - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55029-south-australia-estimates-winter-crop-at-6-25mt-grain-central.md) | +0.1% | -5.2% |
| WHEAT | 2018-11-01 | [Australia set for smallest winter crop in a decade: Rural Bank - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61992-australia-set-for-smallest-winter-crop-in-a-decade-rural-bank-grain-central.md) | -3.7% | -5.1% |
| WHEAT | 2017-04-28 | [Forecasts point to dry season ahead for WA croppers - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71432-forecasts-point-to-dry-season-ahead-for-wa-croppers-grain-central.md) | +2.4% | +1.5% |

## Sources

- graincentral.com: https://www.graincentral.com/cropping/sa-winter-crop-forecast-at-8-8mt-pirsa/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.