# Indonesia expects delayed rainy season due to El Nino

> Indonesia's dry season is forecast to be the most severe since 2019, peaking in September and October. The BMKG expects the rainy season to begin in November in more than 60% of the country, but agriculture will be affected.

- Date: 2023-09-08 · published 2023-09-08T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Indonesia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/34002-indonesia-expects-delayed-rainy-season-due-to-el-nino
- Commodities: [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

Dry weather in Indonesia threatens palm oil yields, which can tighten vegetable oil supply and lift palm oil prices.

## Read by commodity

- PALMOIL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| PALMOIL | 2023-11-23 | [El Nino poses risk to 2024 palm oil output in Indonesia, Malaysia - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33277-el-nino-poses-risk-to-2024-palm-oil-output-in-indonesia-malaysia-the.md) | -0.7% | -3.3% |
| PALMOIL | 2026-04-29 | [Indonesia 2026 crude palm oil output to fall due to El Nino, high fertiliser prices, association says \| The Star](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19818-indonesia-2026-crude-palm-oil-output-to-fall-due-to-el-nino-high-fertiliser.md) | +2.8% | -1.1% |
| PALMOIL | 2023-11-08 | [Concerns about Supply Disruptions Due to the El Nino Phenomenon and Expectations of Increased Demand Pushing Up Prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33280-concerns-about-supply-disruptions-due-to-the-el-nino-phenomenon-and.md) | +2.5% | +0.2% |
| PALMOIL | 2026-04-13 | [IMD Forecasts Below Normal South West Monsoon Rainfall in 2026, El Niño to Impact India’s Kharif Season](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19635-imd-forecasts-below-normal-south-west-monsoon-rainfall-in-2026-el-nino-to.md) | -1.0% | -0.0% |
| PALMOIL | 2023-09-29 | [Indonesian Palm Oil Association sees palm oil prices rising in 2024 as El Nino crimps domestic output](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34219-indonesian-palm-oil-association-sees-palm-oil-prices-rising-in-2024-as-el-nino.md) | -4.5% | -3.5% |

## Sources

- reuters.com: https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/indonesia-expects-delayed-rainy-season-due-el-nino-2023-09-08/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.