# COCERAL forecasts the grain harvest in the EU-27 + UK at 289.8 mln tons.

> COCERAL's fourth 2023 forecast puts the EU-27 plus UK cereal harvest at 289.8 million tons, down from 296.7 million in June, due to early drought in northern Europe. Wheat is seen at 141.0 million tons, barley at 54.7 million and corn at 60.8 million, with rapeseed at 20.4 million.

- Date: 2023-10-10 · published 2023-10-10T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region EU · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/33560-coceral-forecasts-the-grain-harvest-in-the-eu-27-uk-at-289-8-mln-tons
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller EU cereal crop than earlier forecast reduces exportable supply and supports feed grain prices, particularly barley and wheat.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2024-09-26 | [Argentine exchange forecasts soybean harvest at 52 mln tons](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13902-argentine-exchange-forecasts-soybean-harvest-at-52-mln-tons.md) | +1.0% | -6.2% |
| WHEAT | 2023-06-12 | [Coceral cuts EU grain harvest outlook on dry weather](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35420-coceral-cuts-eu-grain-harvest-outlook-on-dry-weather.md) | +1.1% | +0.2% |
| WHEAT | 2021-08-30 | [EU harvest adds to the global wheat dilemma - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45511-eu-harvest-adds-to-the-global-wheat-dilemma-grain-central.md) | +0.2% | +0.5% |
| WHEAT | 2021-08-12 | [Strategie Grains Lowers Forecast For EU Wheat, Barley Harvests \| ESM Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45509-strategie-grains-lowers-forecast-for-eu-wheat-barley-harvests-esm-magazine.md) | +2.5% | +4.2% |
| WHEAT | 2023-07-14 | [Strategie Grains cuts EU cereal crop forecasts again on weather toll](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34979-strategie-grains-cuts-eu-cereal-crop-forecasts-again-on-weather-toll.md) | +3.5% | +3.5% |
| CORN | 2023-06-12 | [Coceral cuts EU grain harvest outlook on dry weather](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35420-coceral-cuts-eu-grain-harvest-outlook-on-dry-weather.md) | +6.8% | -3.2% |
| CORN | 2022-01-17 | [Brazil’s Drought Reduces Grain Harvest Forecasts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13749-brazil-s-drought-reduces-grain-harvest-forecasts.md) | -0.5% | +6.0% |
| CORN | 2023-07-14 | [Strategie Grains cuts EU cereal crop forecasts again on weather toll](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34979-strategie-grains-cuts-eu-cereal-crop-forecasts-again-on-weather-toll.md) | -6.9% | -11.1% |

## Sources

- ukragroconsult.com: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/coceral-forecasts-the-grain-harvest-in-the-eu-27-uk-at-289-8-mln-tons/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.