# El Niño Forecast to Contribute to Food Insecurity - NASA Science

> NASA Earth Observatory reports that the ongoing El Niño is disrupting rainfall worldwide, with too much rain in some areas and too little in others. FEWS NET partners project that 110 million people will need food assistance, based on projected impacts on wheat, maize, rice, soybean and sorghum yields. The event is forecast to strengthen through late 2023 before dissipating by mid-2024.

- Date: 2023-10-30 · published 2023-10-30T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/33546-el-nino-forecast-to-contribute-to-food-insecurity-nasa-science
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Sorghum](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SORGHUM.md)

## Why it matters

Projected yield losses in major feed grains and rice from El Niño-driven drought in Southern Africa, Latin America, Australia and Southeast Asia would tighten global supplies and support corn and wheat prices. Wetter conditions in the southern US are a partial offset.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: bullish ▲
- RICE: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- SORGHUM: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2024-04-24 | [NASA SVS \| El Niño Forecast to Contribute to Food Insecurity](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30653-nasa-svs-el-nino-forecast-to-contribute-to-food-insecurity.md) | -0.5% | +3.3% |
| CORN | 2026-10-04 | [2026-2027 El Niño food security impacts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17050-2026-2027-el-nino-food-security-impacts.md) | -3.5% | -6.9% |
| CORN | 2024-06-17 | [As El Niño Wanes, Food Security Pain Remains](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29663-as-el-nino-wanes-food-security-pain-remains.md) | -4.3% | -9.0% |
| CORN | 2023-10-03 | [Strong El Niño event will contribute to high food assistance needs through 2024 \| FEWS NET](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33548-strong-el-nino-event-will-contribute-to-high-food-assistance-needs-through-2024.md) | -0.4% | -2.9% |
| CORN | 2020-04-17 | [The hunger forecast \| Science](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53559-the-hunger-forecast-science.md) | -0.9% | -1.5% |
| WHEAT | 2023-09-28 | [Risks to global food commodity prices from El Niño](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33997-risks-to-global-food-commodity-prices-from-el-nino.md) | -5.3% | -2.5% |
| WHEAT | 2018-07-27 | [Does the El Niño Southern Oscillation Actually Matter for Food Security? – State of the Planet](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63941-does-the-el-nino-southern-oscillation-actually-matter-for-food-security-state.md) | -1.3% | -1.6% |
| WHEAT | 2026-04-24 | [Forecast for strong El Niño fans worries about global crops](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19633-forecast-for-strong-el-nino-fans-worries-about-global-crops.md) | +0.2% | +1.4% |

## Sources

- science.nasa.gov: https://science.nasa.gov/earth/earth-observatory/el-nino-forecast-to-contribute-to-food-insecurity-152005/

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.