# The Fed - U.S. Interest Rates and Emerging Market Currencies: Taking Stock 10 Years After the Taper Tantrum

> Federal Reserve staff analyze episodes of large, sustained depreciation of emerging market currencies since the post-GFC era, comparing the role of U.S. interest rates against other broad factors. The note uses the 2013 taper tantrum as a reference point and examines search for yield and investor positioning. It uses an equally weighted index of the dollar against 18 floating EME currencies.

- Date: 2023-10-04 · published 2023-10-04T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/33530-the-fed-u-s-interest-rates-and-emerging-market-currencies-taking-stock-10-years
- Commodities: [US Dollar (Broad)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DXY.md)

## Why it matters

Higher U.S. rates and a stronger dollar tighten financial conditions in emerging markets, which can weaken EM currencies and dampen their import demand for feed and grain. This is an analytical research note rather than a new shock.

## Read by commodity

- DXY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DXY | 2019-04-30 | [Market alert: Will the Fed cut interest rates? \| XTB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59760-market-alert-will-the-fed-cut-interest-rates-xtb.md) | -0.1% | +0.7% |
| DXY | 2016-11-14 | [Emerging market bond, currency markets face ‘meltdown’ after Trump's win](https://feedsoft.ai/events/74153-emerging-market-bond-currency-markets-face-meltdown-after-trump-s-win.md) | +1.4% | +0.8% |
| DXY | 2018-08-30 | [Fresh Stress Grips Weakest Emerging-Market Currencies](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63696-fresh-stress-grips-weakest-emerging-market-currencies.md) | +0.9% | +0.3% |
| DXY | 2025-05-08 | [How the Fed’s Hold on Rates Is Affecting Stock, Bond, and Commodity Markets \| Investing.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24579-how-the-fed-s-hold-on-rates-is-affecting-stock-bond-and-commodity-markets.md) | +0.5% | -0.9% |
| DXY | 2021-01-08 | [Treasury Yield Surge Rattles Emerging-Market Currencies in Asia - Infobae](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49393-treasury-yield-surge-rattles-emerging-market-currencies-in-asia-infobae.md) | -0.1% | +0.7% |

## Sources

- federalreserve.gov: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/u-s-interest-rates-and-emerging-market-currencies-taking-stock-10-years-after-the-taper-tantrum-20231004.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.