# WA harvest estimate now 44pc below last year's record: GIWA - Grain Central

> GIWA's November report puts Western Australia's winter crop at 14.51 Mt, down 44% from last year's record 26.06 Mt and 445,000 t lower than October estimates. Lack of rain has cut the forecast every month since July's 18.14 Mt estimate, and harvest is expected to finish by end-December.

- Date: 2023-11-17 · published 2023-11-17T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/33126-wa-harvest-estimate-now-44pc-below-last-year-s-record-giwa-grain-central
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

A 44% drop in WA output tightens Australian feed grain and wheat supplies, supporting export prices and drawing more demand to other origins.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2023-10-18 | [National wheat estimate shrinks, barley lifts - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33569-national-wheat-estimate-shrinks-barley-lifts-grain-central.md) | -1.9% | -3.8% |
| WHEAT | 2017-07-13 | [Strategy Grains lowers EU harvest estimates after heat](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69902-strategy-grains-lowers-eu-harvest-estimates-after-heat.md) | -1.8% | -1.6% |
| WHEAT | 2020-10-19 | [Global markets look firm as WA heads into harvest: CBH - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12843-global-markets-look-firm-as-wa-heads-into-harvest-cbh-grain-central.md) | +1.2% | -1.1% |
| WHEAT | 2024-10-25 | [Crop estimates reflect tough SE Australian season - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27827-crop-estimates-reflect-tough-se-australian-season-grain-central.md) | +0.1% | -1.6% |
| WHEAT | 2021-08-30 | [EU harvest adds to the global wheat dilemma - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45511-eu-harvest-adds-to-the-global-wheat-dilemma-grain-central.md) | +0.2% | +0.5% |

## Sources

- graincentral.com: https://www.graincentral.com/news/wa-harvest-estimate-now-44pc-below-last-years-record-giwa/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.