# Winter crop of 46.1m tonnes strong for an El Nino season | Farm Online | ACT

> Farm Online reports that ABARES puts the national winter crop at 46.1Mt, 33% below last year's record 67.3Mt but just below the 10-year average. The estimate is well above recent El Niño seasons, with good yields in southern regions.

- Date: 2023-12-08 · published 2023-12-08T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/32666-winter-crop-of-46-1m-tonnes-strong-for-an-el-nino-season-farm-online-act
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

The crop is smaller than last year but much larger than typical El Niño years, which limits how far prices are likely to rise. Export supply should stay adequate.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: neutral
- BARLEY: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2021-09-10 | [Harvest starts on potential 54.8m tonne winter crop for Australia - ABC News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45031-harvest-starts-on-potential-54-8m-tonne-winter-crop-for-australia-abc-news.md) | +3.6% | +5.7% |
| WHEAT | 2018-01-22 | [ABS says variation in crop estimates is normal \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66945-abs-says-variation-in-crop-estimates-is-normal-farm-online-act.md) | +3.2% | +6.0% |
| WHEAT | 2018-01-17 | [Record crop could lose 4.65mt according to estimate \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66944-record-crop-could-lose-4-65mt-according-to-estimate-farm-online-act.md) | +2.6% | +6.4% |
| WHEAT | 2020-03-02 | [Cropping to lead the way in ag comeback \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54102-cropping-to-lead-the-way-in-ag-comeback-farm-online-act.md) | -0.1% | -4.3% |
| WHEAT | 2019-08-13 | [USDA springs further surprise in crop report \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11740-usda-springs-further-surprise-in-crop-report-farm-online-act.md) | -1.7% | -3.9% |

## Sources

- farmonline.com.au: https://www.farmonline.com.au/story/8452999/winter-crop-of-461m-tonnes-strong-for-an-el-nino-season/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.