# El Niño winter comes for wheat

> Farm Progress outlines how the El Niño winter shapes 2024 Northern Hemisphere wheat prospects. France's planted area is down 11% after excess autumn rain, while Russia has received above-normal winter precipitation that favors yields and Australia may face production problems.

- Date: 2024-01-08 · published 2024-01-08T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/32049-el-nino-winter-comes-for-wheat
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Mixed regional outlooks mean wheat price direction depends on whether Russian and European crops offset expected shortfalls in Australia and Southeast Asia.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2023-07-13 | [What this year’s El Niño means for wheat and global food supply](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34965-what-this-year-s-el-nino-means-for-wheat-and-global-food-supply.md) | +3.7% | +3.6% |
| WHEAT | 2023-06-08 | [Hello, El Niño – What To Expect for the 2023 Crop - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35411-hello-el-nino-what-to-expect-for-the-2023-crop-agweb.md) | -0.0% | +2.9% |
| WHEAT | 2020-01-09 | [Worldwide Winter Wheat Prospects](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55000-worldwide-winter-wheat-prospects.md) | +1.7% | -3.3% |
| WHEAT | 2017-08-11 | [El Niño Outlook for August 2017](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69374-el-nino-outlook-for-august-2017.md) | +0.3% | -0.2% |
| WHEAT | 2025-10-20 | [French farmers accelerate winter wheat sowing](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22338-french-farmers-accelerate-winter-wheat-sowing.md) | +0.7% | -2.8% |

## Sources

- farmprogress.com: https://www.farmprogress.com/commentary/el-ni-o-winter-comes-for-wheat

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.