# Potential impacts of El Niño on crop production | AGDAILY

> AGDAILY describes how El Niño typically peaks in late fall or early winter and affects Midwest winter conditions. It notes that El Niño is not strongly predictive of US corn and soybean yields because summer weather drives yields.

- Date: 2024-01-16 · published 2024-01-16T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/32047-potential-impacts-of-el-nino-on-crop-production-agdaily
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

Because El Niño has weak predictive power for summer yields, the piece offers little direct price signal for corn and soybeans.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2026-09-05 | [AgroENSO Maps El Niño Impacts on Argentina Crops](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17399-agroenso-maps-el-nino-impacts-on-argentina-crops.md) | +0.4% | +1.9% |
| CORN | 2026-09-11 | [East Africa Seasonal Monitor: El Niño impacts lead to poor production across East Africa’s high potential zones, September 11, 2026 - Kenya \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17400-east-africa-seasonal-monitor-el-nino-impacts-lead-to-poor-production-across.md) | +2.5% | -0.2% |
| CORN | 2021-08-27 | [Potential Brazil corn and soybean production in 2021/22](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45432-potential-brazil-corn-and-soybean-production-in-2021-22.md) | -4.6% | -10.8% |
| CORN | 2022-02-16 | [Grains Production Estimates Slashed as Impact of La Niña Shows \| CZ app](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42622-grains-production-estimates-slashed-as-impact-of-la-nina-shows-cz-app.md) | +5.1% | +18.3% |
| CORN | 2026-04-09 | [Rising Odds of Strong El Niño Point to Global Weather and Crop Impacts - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19631-rising-odds-of-strong-el-nino-point-to-global-weather-and-crop-impacts-bloomberg.md) | +0.9% | +1.5% |
| SOY | 2026-09-05 | [AgroENSO Maps El Niño Impacts on Argentina Crops](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17399-agroenso-maps-el-nino-impacts-on-argentina-crops.md) | -0.7% | -1.0% |
| SOY | 2026-09-11 | [East Africa Seasonal Monitor: El Niño impacts lead to poor production across East Africa’s high potential zones, September 11, 2026 - Kenya \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17400-east-africa-seasonal-monitor-el-nino-impacts-lead-to-poor-production-across.md) | +0.3% | -2.2% |
| SOY | 2021-08-27 | [Potential Brazil corn and soybean production in 2021/22](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45432-potential-brazil-corn-and-soybean-production-in-2021-22.md) | -6.5% | -6.0% |

## Sources

- agdaily.com: https://www.agdaily.com/weather/potential-impacts-of-el-nino-on-crop-production/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.