# Will La Niña return this fall? The tea leaves are unusually strong » Yale Climate Connections

> NOAA scientists report higher-than-usual confidence that La Niña will develop by mid-to-late 2024, ending a strong El Niño. NOAA then issued a La Niña Watch in its February 8 update.

- Date: 2024-01-31 · published 2024-01-31T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/32044-will-la-nina-return-this-fall-the-tea-leaves-are-unusually-strong-yale-climate
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

A La Niña would raise the odds of US drought and affect Southern Hemisphere crops, which could support corn and soybean prices later in the year.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2024-01-25 | [What are the odds that extreme weather will lead to a global food shock? » Yale Climate Connections](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32042-what-are-the-odds-that-extreme-weather-will-lead-to-a-global-food-shock-yale.md) | -0.8% | -6.4% |
| CORN | 2021-11-16 | [Understanding La Niña Conditions Going Into the Winter Season \| USDA Climate Hubs](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43970-understanding-la-nina-conditions-going-into-the-winter-season-usda-climate-hubs.md) | +0.1% | +3.6% |
| CORN | 2024-01-30 | [La Niña Returns: Will It Impact 2024 US Growing Season? – Empire Weather Consulting](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32038-la-nina-returns-will-it-impact-2024-us-growing-season-empire-weather-consulting.md) | -2.5% | -6.5% |
| CORN | 2018-07-25 | [Odds are El Niño, precipitation will return](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63942-odds-are-el-nino-precipitation-will-return.md) | +3.5% | +2.0% |
| CORN | 2025-10-09 | [Monitoring the return of La Niña \| Capital Economics](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22311-monitoring-the-return-of-la-nina-capital-economics.md) | -0.9% | +0.9% |
| SOY | 2024-01-25 | [What are the odds that extreme weather will lead to a global food shock? » Yale Climate Connections](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32042-what-are-the-odds-that-extreme-weather-will-lead-to-a-global-food-shock-yale.md) | -1.5% | -7.5% |
| SOY | 2021-11-16 | [Understanding La Niña Conditions Going Into the Winter Season \| USDA Climate Hubs](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43970-understanding-la-nina-conditions-going-into-the-winter-season-usda-climate-hubs.md) | +1.4% | +0.2% |
| SOY | 2024-01-30 | [La Niña Returns: Will It Impact 2024 US Growing Season? – Empire Weather Consulting](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32038-la-nina-returns-will-it-impact-2024-us-growing-season-empire-weather-consulting.md) | +0.2% | -5.3% |

## Sources

- yaleclimateconnections.org: https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2024/01/will-la-nina-return-this-fall-the-tea-leaves-are-unusually-strong/

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.