# Q3 agricultural production likely weakened amid erratic weather - BusinessWorld Online

> The Philippines is expected to have weaker agricultural output in the third quarter, with typhoons, monsoon flooding, El Niño and high fuel prices cited as causes. The former agriculture secretary says El Niño has already affected almost P9 billion of farm goods.

- Date: 2026-11-01 · published 2026-11-01T18:14:30.545Z
- Category: weather · region Philippines · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/30776-q3-agricultural-production-likely-weakened-amid-erratic-weather-businessworld
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

Weaker domestic output could increase Philippine import demand for rice and push local food prices higher, supporting rice prices.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2025-01-26 | [Agricultural output may have contracted in 2024 - BusinessWorld Online](https://feedsoft.ai/events/16029-agricultural-output-may-have-contracted-in-2024-businessworld-online.md) | -5.7% | -8.4% |
| RICE | 2019-04-26 | [El Niño crop damage climbs to P7.96 billion - BusinessWorld Online](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59514-el-nino-crop-damage-climbs-to-p7-96-billion-businessworld-online.md) | +2.5% | +13.7% |
| RICE | 2023-06-06 | [Will dry weather and export restrictions make the rice market volatile? \| The Business Standard](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35561-will-dry-weather-and-export-restrictions-make-the-rice-market-volatile-the.md) | +9.6% | +1.9% |
| RICE | 2024-01-31 | [How can El Niño cause disastrous impacts on ASEAN Plus Three’s Agricultural Production and Food Security? - Asean Plus Three Emergency Rice Reserve (APTERR)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32048-how-can-el-nino-cause-disastrous-impacts-on-asean-plus-three-s-agricultural.md) | +2.2% | -1.3% |
| RICE | 2026-10-27 | [From maize to coffee, El Nino likely to affect various crops across the world - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17051-from-maize-to-coffee-el-nino-likely-to-affect-various-crops-across-the-world.md) | +3.5% | — |

## Sources

- bworldonline.com: https://bworldonline.com/agribusiness/2026/11/01/790647/q3-agricultural-production-likely-weakened-amid-erratic-weather/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.
