# Strategie Grains still sees lower EU wheat crop despite Spain boost

> Strategie Grains expects EU soft wheat production of 121.8 million tonnes in 2024/25, up slightly from 121.6 million forecast in March. That is still more than 3% below last year. Excessive wet weather in France and rainfall deficits in Bulgaria and Romania are cited as risks.

- Date: 2024-04-11 · published 2024-04-11T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region EU · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/30695-strategie-grains-still-sees-lower-eu-wheat-crop-despite-spain-boost
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A small upward revision keeps EU supply tight year on year, giving wheat modest support. The forecast is still exposed to weather risk in France and the Black Sea region.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2026-06-11 | [COCERAL revises EU grains output lower \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18756-coceral-revises-eu-grains-output-lower-world-grain.md) | +4.2% | +1.7% |
| WHEAT | 2017-09-22 | [COCERAL lowers E.U. 2017-18 grain crop estimate \| World-grain.com \| September 22, 2017 13:50 \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68915-coceral-lowers-e-u-2017-18-grain-crop-estimate-world-grain-com-september-22.md) | -6.9% | +3.1% |
| WHEAT | 2023-06-30 | [French Cereals Crop Ratings Fall Further Despite Rains \| ESM Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35424-french-cereals-crop-ratings-fall-further-despite-rains-esm-magazine.md) | -8.4% | -8.3% |
| WHEAT | 2023-12-04 | [Barley, canola, wheat estimates lift over quarter: ABARES - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32664-barley-canola-wheat-estimates-lift-over-quarter-abares-grain-central.md) | +0.5% | -0.5% |
| WHEAT | 2026-06-11 | [Report Reaction \| Corn, wheat see higher global ending stocks despite production concerns - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18733-report-reaction-corn-wheat-see-higher-global-ending-stocks-despite-production.md) | +4.1% | +2.3% |

## Sources

- reuters.com: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/strategie-grains-nudges-up-eu-wheat-crop-forecast-2024-04-11/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.