# EUR/USD outlook hinges on key upcoming macro events – Forex Friday

> Traders held positions ahead of the April core PCE release, which was expected to show 0.3% month-over-month inflation along with matching personal spending and income. The article also flags the upcoming ECB decision and US non-farm payrolls as key events for EUR/USD.

- Date: 2024-05-31 · published 2024-05-31T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/30470-eur-usd-outlook-hinges-on-key-upcoming-macro-events-forex-friday
- Commodities: [US Dollar (Broad)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DXY.md), [Euro (USD per EUR)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/EURUSD.md)

## Why it matters

A surprise in US inflation data could move the dollar sharply, which affects dollar-denominated commodity prices and export competitiveness.

## Read by commodity

- DXY: neutral
- EURUSD: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DXY | 2023-11-15 | [Asia FX Outlook 2024: Event risk could dominate \| articles \| ING THINK](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33436-asia-fx-outlook-2024-event-risk-could-dominate-articles-ing-think.md) | -0.9% | -0.2% |
| DXY | 2020-02-28 | [Richard H Clarida: US economic outlook and monetary policy](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54504-richard-h-clarida-us-economic-outlook-and-monetary-policy.md) | -0.5% | +4.3% |
| DXY | 2026-10-22 | [Everyone Has Blown Up : London Macro Traders Carried - Out As French Carry Trade Implodes ( Again )](https://feedsoft.ai/events/790-everyone-has-blown-up-london-macro-traders-carried-out-as-french-carry-trade.md) | +0.4% | — |
| DXY | 2017-12-01 | [FOREX-Dollar gains vs yen on US tax reform hopes but sags against euro, pound](https://feedsoft.ai/events/67699-forex-dollar-gains-vs-yen-on-us-tax-reform-hopes-but-sags-against-euro-pound.md) | +0.5% | -0.3% |
| DXY | 2024-05-29 | [EUR/USD: Euro May Turn Lower vs. Dollar on Eurozone CPI Data \| tastylive](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30471-eur-usd-euro-may-turn-lower-vs-dollar-on-eurozone-cpi-data-tastylive.md) | +1.1% | +2.3% |
| EURUSD | 2023-11-27 | [EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: Outlook Turning Brighter for Europe \| Investing.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33382-eur-usd-weekly-forecast-outlook-turning-brighter-for-europe-investing-com.md) | -0.5% | +0.7% |
| EURUSD | 2026-04-29 | [EUR/USD Holds Gains but Rate Expectations Leave Outlook Uncertain \| Investing.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19945-eur-usd-holds-gains-but-rate-expectations-leave-outlook-uncertain-investing-com.md) | -0.1% | -0.7% |
| EURUSD | 2024-03-07 | [EUR/USD up on the day after conclusion of ECB policy meeting](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31422-eur-usd-up-on-the-day-after-conclusion-of-ecb-policy-meeting.md) | +0.3% | -0.8% |

## Sources

- forex.com: https://www.forex.com/en-us/news-and-analysis/eur-usd-outlook-hinges-on-key-upcoming-macro-events--forex-friday/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.