# Global phosphate fertilizer production could fall to 45 mln tons amid sulfur shortage

> US diammonium phosphate (DAP) prices rose from about $700/t at the start of 2026 to roughly $850/t. Mosaic suspended operations at its South Fort Meade facility amid raw material difficulties. China's phosphate fertilizer exports have fallen to almost zero this year.

- Date: 2026-10-30 · published 2026-10-31T10:06:06.393Z
- Category: disease · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/3041-global-phosphate-fertilizer-production-could-fall-to-45-mln-tons-amid-sulfur
- Commodities: [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md), [TSP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/TSP.md), [Phosphate Rock](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PHOSROCK.md)

## Why it matters

Sulfur shortages and near-zero Chinese exports tighten global phosphate supply, supporting higher DAP prices and pressuring phosphate-dependent feed producers' input costs.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- TSP: bullish ▲
- PHOSROCK: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DAP | 2026-07-14 | [OCP phosphate runs cut as much as 50 percent on sulfur shortage \| Sulfur Wire](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18676-ocp-phosphate-runs-cut-as-much-as-50-percent-on-sulfur-shortage-sulfur-wire.md) | +1.4% | +3.6% |
| DAP | 2026-09-28 | [Sulfur shock deepens Brazil’s Phosphate fertiliser squeeze](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17783-sulfur-shock-deepens-brazil-s-phosphate-fertiliser-squeeze.md) | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| DAP | 2020-02-03 | [Coronavirus to hit China fertilizer market — Fertilizer Daily](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54898-coronavirus-to-hit-china-fertilizer-market-fertilizer-daily.md) | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| DAP | 2026-04-07 | [Moroccan fertilizer maker OCP expects output to drop 30 per cent in Q2, sources say \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20045-moroccan-fertilizer-maker-ocp-expects-output-to-drop-30-per-cent-in-q2-sources.md) | +0.7% | +5.9% |
| DAP | 2020-06-26 | [Fertilizer Industry Largely Spared from COVID-19 Impact - ProAg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52918-fertilizer-industry-largely-spared-from-covid-19-impact-proag.md) | +5.2% | +11.6% |

## Sources

- ukragroconsult.com: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/global-phosphate-fertilizer-production-could-fall-to-45-mln-tons-amid-sulfur-shortage/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.