# Strategie Grains raises EU soft wheat crop forecast to 123.5 mln tons

> Strategie Grains raised its EU soft wheat crop forecast by 1.7 million tons to 123.5 million tons, driven by Spain. It also lifted its EU barley forecast by 0.5 million tons to 53.0 million tons, though the soft wheat crop is still below last year's 126.1 million tons.

- Date: 2024-05-17 · published 2024-05-17T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region EU · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/30175-strategie-grains-raises-eu-soft-wheat-crop-forecast-to-123-5-mln-tons
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

A larger EU crop trims import demand and supports a bearish tilt for wheat and barley, but the expected year-on-year fall and possible Russian downgrades keep the outlook supportive.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- BARLEY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2021-06-11 | [Strategie Grains raises EU 2021/22 wheat crop, export forecasts - UkrAgroConsult](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46522-strategie-grains-raises-eu-2021-22-wheat-crop-export-forecasts-ukragroconsult.md) | +5.0% | -5.4% |
| WHEAT | 2019-09-19 | [Strategy Grains raises forecasts for EU wheat harvests](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57026-strategy-grains-raises-forecasts-for-eu-wheat-harvests.md) | +2.2% | +2.8% |
| WHEAT | 2025-05-16 | [Strategie Grains raises EU grain harvest forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24615-strategie-grains-raises-eu-grain-harvest-forecast.md) | -4.8% | -4.2% |
| WHEAT | 2023-02-09 | [Strategie Grains enhances EU wheat crop forecast again - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37268-strategie-grains-enhances-eu-wheat-crop-forecast-again-markets-business-recorder.md) | -2.6% | -8.6% |
| WHEAT | 2025-08-26 | [MARS raises EU soft wheat yield forecast to 6.15 t/ha](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23267-mars-raises-eu-soft-wheat-yield-forecast-to-6-15-t-ha.md) | +0.4% | -1.2% |

## Sources

- ukragroconsult.com: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/strategie-grains-raises-eu-soft-wheat-crop-forecast-to-123-5-mln-tons/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.