# EU crop yield forecasts remain above the 5-year average despite challenging weather conditions - Joint Research Centre

> The EU Joint Research Centre's May MARS bulletin says EU yield forecasts were slightly revised down but remain above the 5-year average. Wet conditions in western Europe, Denmark and northern Italy caused waterlogging and sowing delays, while an April cold spell damaged fruit and vineyards.

- Date: 2024-05-27 · published 2024-05-27T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region EU · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/30174-eu-crop-yield-forecasts-remain-above-the-5-year-average-despite-challenging
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

EU crop yields staying above average limits upside for wheat, barley and corn prices, though wet weather in western Europe keeps some downside risk to feed grain supply.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: neutral
- WHEAT: neutral
- BARLEY: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2023-08-21 | [Little change to mediocre EU crop yield outlook - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34518-little-change-to-mediocre-eu-crop-yield-outlook-joint-research-centre.md) | -2.4% | -3.4% |
| WHEAT | 2026-06-22 | [Fair yield outlook maintained for winter crops - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18754-fair-yield-outlook-maintained-for-winter-crops-joint-research-centre.md) | -1.6% | +1.9% |
| WHEAT | 2018-05-22 | [Average yield forecasts for EU cereals - weaker for](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64978-average-yield-forecasts-for-eu-cereals-weaker-for.md) | +0.7% | -1.4% |
| WHEAT | 2025-10-27 | [Disappointing summer crop season in the south-east - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22339-disappointing-summer-crop-season-in-the-south-east-joint-research-centre.md) | +3.8% | -1.8% |
| WHEAT | 2026-05-18 | [Fair outlook despite water stress  - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19180-fair-outlook-despite-water-stress-joint-research-centre.md) | +0.4% | -4.2% |
| CORN | 2026-06-22 | [Fair yield outlook maintained for winter crops - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18754-fair-yield-outlook-maintained-for-winter-crops-joint-research-centre.md) | -0.8% | +1.9% |
| CORN | 2024-09-01 | [Preseason maize and wheat yield forecasts for early warning of crop failure](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28671-preseason-maize-and-wheat-yield-forecasts-for-early-warning-of-crop-failure.md) | +1.2% | +5.1% |
| CORN | 2022-09-01 | [USDA: Farm Sector Profits Forecast to Remain Above Average in 2022 - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39590-usda-farm-sector-profits-forecast-to-remain-above-average-in-2022-pro-farmer.md) | -1.8% | -2.9% |

## Sources

- joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu: https://joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu/jrc-news-and-updates/eu-crop-yield-forecasts-remain-above-5-year-average-despite-challenging-weather-conditions-2024-05-27_en

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.