# El Nino to end by June, La Nina seen in second half of 2024, says U.S. forecaster | Reuters

> A U.S. forecaster says El Niño will end by June and La Niña is expected in the second half of 2024. BMI's Sabrin Chowdhury says La Niña could hurt wheat and corn in the US and soybeans, barley, wheat and corn in Latin America.

- Date: 2024-05-09 · published 2024-05-09T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Americas · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/30149-el-nino-to-end-by-june-la-nina-seen-in-second-half-of-2024-says-u-s-forecaster
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Expected La Niña drought risk in the US and South America could reduce crop output and support feed grain and oilseed prices. The transition period is seen as a risk for yields.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2024-02-08 | [El Nino waning, La Nina to develop in second half of 2024](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31586-el-nino-waning-la-nina-to-develop-in-second-half-of-2024.md) | -1.4% | +1.6% |
| CORN | 2026-05-14 | [US forecaster says El Nino has 82% chance of developing by July \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19187-us-forecaster-says-el-nino-has-82-chance-of-developing-by-july-reuters.md) | -0.4% | -7.9% |
| CORN | 2024-09-12 | [La Nina weather 71% likely to develop in Sept-Nov, says US forecaster \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28233-la-nina-weather-71-likely-to-develop-in-sept-nov-says-us-forecaster-reuters.md) | +4.9% | +5.1% |
| CORN | 2024-02-07 | [Shift from El Nino to La Nina portends rains in Asia, dryness in Americas \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31585-shift-from-el-nino-to-la-nina-portends-rains-in-asia-dryness-in-americas-reuters.md) | -1.1% | +0.3% |
| CORN | 2025-10-09 | [US National Weather Service says La Nina conditions likely to persist through Dec 2025 to Feb 2026 \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22312-us-national-weather-service-says-la-nina-conditions-likely-to-persist-through.md) | -0.9% | +0.9% |
| SOY | 2024-02-08 | [El Nino waning, La Nina to develop in second half of 2024](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31586-el-nino-waning-la-nina-to-develop-in-second-half-of-2024.md) | -1.6% | -2.7% |
| SOY | 2026-05-14 | [US forecaster says El Nino has 82% chance of developing by July \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19187-us-forecaster-says-el-nino-has-82-chance-of-developing-by-july-reuters.md) | -1.3% | -8.2% |
| SOY | 2024-09-12 | [La Nina weather 71% likely to develop in Sept-Nov, says US forecaster \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28233-la-nina-weather-71-likely-to-develop-in-sept-nov-says-us-forecaster-reuters.md) | +3.5% | +4.1% |

## Sources

- reuters.com: https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/el-nino-end-by-june-la-nina-seen-second-half-2024-says-us-forecaster-2024-05-09/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.