# GMT EIGHT - Latest - Citi lowers euro-to-dollar forecast due to European risks and high oil prices.

> Citi cut its three-month EUR/USD forecast from 1.135 to 1.105. The bank cited European tail risks, wider French-German bond spreads and elevated energy prices from the Middle East conflict.

- Date: 2026-10-31 · published 2026-10-31T10:05:59.996Z
- Category: macro · region Europe · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/3014-gmt-eight-latest-citi-lowers-euro-to-dollar-forecast-due-to-european-risks-and
- Commodities: [Euro (USD per EUR)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/EURUSD.md), [US Dollar (Broad)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DXY.md)

## Why it matters

A weaker euro and firmer dollar make US commodities more expensive for European buyers and can weigh on dollar-priced grain and meal prices.

## Read by commodity

- DXY: bullish ▲
- EURUSD: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| EURUSD | 2016-12-28 | [Euro To Dollar Forecast: Rally In EUR USD Exchange Rate Falters And 2017 Looks Bearish](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73670-euro-to-dollar-forecast-rally-in-eur-usd-exchange-rate-falters-and-2017-looks.md) | +0.2% | +2.2% |
| EURUSD | 2026-09-29 | [Euro's dollar resilience faces energy price, political risk tests \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17691-euro-s-dollar-resilience-faces-energy-price-political-risk-tests-reuters.md) | -1.4% | -2.0% |
| EURUSD | 2018-09-30 | [The British Pound, Euro And US Dollar (GBP, EUR, USD) Exchange Rate Forecasts - Brexit Update \| Exchange Rates UK](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63290-the-british-pound-euro-and-us-dollar-gbp-eur-usd-exchange-rate-forecasts-brexit.md) | -1.0% | -2.0% |
| EURUSD | 2023-03-15 | [Euro Slumps against Pound and Dollar as European Banking Fears Rise](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10082-euro-slumps-against-pound-and-dollar-as-european-banking-fears-rise.md) | +0.4% | +1.7% |
| EURUSD | 2024-12-12 | [Dollar higher on fresh inflation data, euro lower after ECB rate cut](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27173-dollar-higher-on-fresh-inflation-data-euro-lower-after-ecb-rate-cut.md) | -0.4% | -2.6% |
| DXY | 2016-12-28 | [Euro To Dollar Forecast: Rally In EUR USD Exchange Rate Falters And 2017 Looks Bearish](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73670-euro-to-dollar-forecast-rally-in-eur-usd-exchange-rate-falters-and-2017-looks.md) | -0.1% | -1.6% |
| DXY | 2022-12-15 | [Oil prices slid 2% as dollar firms and central banks hike interest rates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38152-oil-prices-slid-2-as-dollar-firms-and-central-banks-hike-interest-rates.md) | +0.4% | -2.2% |
| DXY | 2022-10-31 | [Canadian dollar slips to six-day low as oil prices fall - The Globe and Mail](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39347-canadian-dollar-slips-to-six-day-low-as-oil-prices-fall-the-globe-and-mail.md) | -0.1% | -2.8% |

## Sources

- gmteight.com: https://gmteight.com/flash/detail/1583110

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.