# World Bank expects fertiliser prices to ease in 2027 - Profit by Pakistan Today

> The World Bank's October 2026 Commodity Markets Outlook projects fertiliser prices rising 14% in 2026 before easing in 2027. Urea is forecast at $510 per tonne in 2026 and DAP at $735, with both declining in 2027. Fertiliser prices fell 22% in the third quarter from the second.

- Date: 2026-10-29 · published 2026-10-29T06:06:06.636Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/300-world-bank-expects-fertiliser-prices-to-ease-in-2027-profit-by-pakistan-today
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md)

## Why it matters

Forecast declines in urea and DAP for 2027 point to easing fertilizer input costs for crop production. Lower fertilizer costs can support farm margins and planting, a mildly bearish outlook for fertilizer-linked prices.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bearish ▼
- UREA: bearish ▼

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DAP | 2026-10-30 | 1 | -1.1% | -6.7 | World Bank's October outlook projects DAP falling 18% in 2027 and notes Q3 easing in fertilizer prices, a bearish sentiment signal published the day before the drop. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2026-06-23 | [World Bank warns fertilizer prices could surge more than 30% in 2026 if Hormuz disruption persists — Fertilizer Daily](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6819-world-bank-warns-fertilizer-prices-could-surge-more-than-30-in-2026-if-hormuz.md) | -1.7% | -2.4% |
| UREA | 2020-07-03 | [Global fertilizer prices expected to remain low over second half of 2020 - RealAgriculture](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52429-global-fertilizer-prices-expected-to-remain-low-over-second-half-of-2020.md) | +2.2% | +10.3% |
| UREA | 2024-12-16 | [Nitrogen Supply Expected to Increase in 2025, Positive News for Price](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27259-nitrogen-supply-expected-to-increase-in-2025-positive-news-for-price.md) | +0.2% | +8.7% |
| UREA | 2023-05-29 | [Better fert prices on the way: Rabobank](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36250-better-fert-prices-on-the-way-rabobank.md) | -8.1% | -3.1% |
| UREA | 2022-12-07 | [Rabobank: Fertilizer Markets May Start to Settle in 2023 - Northern Ag Network](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38533-rabobank-fertilizer-markets-may-start-to-settle-in-2023-northern-ag-network.md) | -3.6% | -12.4% |
| DAP | 2020-01-15 | [Ample world fertiliser supplies keep prices in check: Rabobank - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55015-ample-world-fertiliser-supplies-keep-prices-in-check-rabobank-grain-central.md) | +1.3% | +11.3% |
| DAP | 2020-07-03 | [Global fertilizer prices expected to remain low over second half of 2020 - RealAgriculture](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52429-global-fertilizer-prices-expected-to-remain-low-over-second-half-of-2020.md) | +3.3% | +12.5% |
| DAP | 2023-05-29 | [Better fert prices on the way: Rabobank](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36250-better-fert-prices-on-the-way-rabobank.md) | -0.6% | -3.8% |

## Sources

- profit.pakistantoday.com.pk: https://profit.pakistantoday.com.pk/2026/10/29/world-bank-projects-fertiliser-prices-to-ease-in-2027-after-14percent-rise

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.