# El Niño and La Niña: Impact on Global Agriculture and What to Expect Next

> A Hectar Global rice analyst outlines how El Niño and La Niña have shifted crop yields, price volatility and trade flows over the past four years. The article says US rice output rose 64% in 2023/24 while India's fell 2.8%, and that wheat output rose in India and the US but fell in China and Australia.

- Date: 2024-07-01 · published 2024-07-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/29665-el-nino-and-la-nina-impact-on-global-agriculture-and-what-to-expect-next
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Diverging production shifts between exporters and importers in rice and wheat can reshape trade flows and price spreads. The article offers background rather than a new supply shock.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: neutral
- WHEAT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2018-10-22 | [Managing El Niño And La Niña In Lao Agriculture](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62469-managing-el-nino-and-la-nina-in-lao-agriculture.md) | -2.8% | -1.3% |
| RICE | 2019-11-15 | [Managing El Niño and La Niña in agriculture in Southeast Asia](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55981-managing-el-nino-and-la-nina-in-agriculture-in-southeast-asia.md) | +5.1% | +7.4% |
| RICE | 2025-01-24 | [La Niña: Anticipatory Action and Response Plan, January 2025 - Mitigating the expected impacts of La Niña‑induced climate extremes on agriculture and food security - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26407-la-nina-anticipatory-action-and-response-plan-january-2025-mitigating-the.md) | -6.2% | -8.4% |
| RICE | 2023-09-01 | [El Nino, La Nina impact on monsoon strongest in north, least in central India: Study](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34473-el-nino-la-nina-impact-on-monsoon-strongest-in-north-least-in-central-india.md) | -4.1% | -5.2% |
| RICE | 2019-08-23 | [AgroPages-Why a good monsoon may not bring good news for India's economy-Agricultural news](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57553-agropages-why-a-good-monsoon-may-not-bring-good-news-for-india-s-economy.md) | +6.3% | +13.3% |
| WHEAT | 2023-06-08 | [Hello, El Niño – What To Expect for the 2023 Crop - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35411-hello-el-nino-what-to-expect-for-the-2023-crop-agweb.md) | -0.0% | +2.9% |
| WHEAT | 2023-07-13 | [What this year’s El Niño means for wheat and global food supply](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34965-what-this-year-s-el-nino-means-for-wheat-and-global-food-supply.md) | +3.7% | +3.6% |
| WHEAT | 2023-07-18 | [How will El Nino impact the world’s wheat and global food supply - The University of Sydney](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34968-how-will-el-nino-impact-the-world-s-wheat-and-global-food-supply-the-university.md) | +2.0% | +1.1% |

## Sources

- global-agriculture.com: https://www.global-agriculture.com/global-agriculture/el-nino-and-la-nina-impact-on-global-agriculture-and-what-to-expect-next/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.