# La Nina weather 65% likely to develop in July-Sept, says US forecaster | Reuters

> The US Climate Prediction Center gives La Niña a 65% chance of developing in July-September. Capital Economics says geographically concentrated crops make global wheat and corn prices less likely to be affected by either phase. La Niña is seen as supportive for South African maize, Indian sugarcane and wheat, and Australian crops due to higher rainfall.

- Date: 2024-06-13 · published 2024-06-13T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/29658-la-nina-weather-65-likely-to-develop-in-july-sept-says-us-forecaster-reuters
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Because global wheat and corn output is spread across regions, ENSO shifts are unlikely to move those prices much on their own. Localized benefits for maize in South Africa and wheat in India and Australia may ease supply concerns there.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: neutral
- WHEAT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2024-11-14 | [US forecaster sees 57% chance of La Nina developing between now and December \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27326-us-forecaster-sees-57-chance-of-la-nina-developing-between-now-and-december.md) | +0.2% | +0.4% |
| CORN | 2026-02-12 | [US forecaster sees signs of La Nina shift towards El Nino conditions in early 2026 \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20517-us-forecaster-sees-signs-of-la-nina-shift-towards-el-nino-conditions-in-early.md) | -0.0% | +3.5% |
| CORN | 2020-05-14 | [U.S. forecaster sees 65% chance for no El Nino, La Nina during summer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53048-u-s-forecaster-sees-65-chance-for-no-el-nino-la-nina-during-summer.md) | -0.0% | +1.8% |
| CORN | 2024-12-12 | [US forecaster sees 59% chance of weak, brief La Nina forming by January](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26863-us-forecaster-sees-59-chance-of-weak-brief-la-nina-forming-by-january.md) | -0.0% | +5.6% |
| CORN | 2016-12-09 | [Long-term forecasters rethinking weather prediction methods](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73406-long-term-forecasters-rethinking-weather-prediction-methods.md) | +2.4% | +0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2024-11-14 | [US forecaster sees 57% chance of La Nina developing between now and December \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27326-us-forecaster-sees-57-chance-of-la-nina-developing-between-now-and-december.md) | -0.5% | +0.2% |
| WHEAT | 2024-12-12 | [US forecaster sees 59% chance of weak, brief La Nina forming by January](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26863-us-forecaster-sees-59-chance-of-weak-brief-la-nina-forming-by-january.md) | -0.5% | -0.7% |
| WHEAT | 2025-12-11 | [La Niña to fade early next year, neutral Pacific conditions likely, U.S. forecasters say - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21415-la-nina-to-fade-early-next-year-neutral-pacific-conditions-likely-u-s.md) | -0.3% | +0.8% |

## Sources

- reuters.com: https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/la-nina-weather-65-likely-develop-july-sept-says-us-forecaster-2024-06-13/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.