# French soft wheat crop forecast to shrink 15% after poor weather

> The French farm ministry forecasts soft wheat production down 15.4% to 29.7 million tonnes, the lowest since 2020, with yield at 6.99 t/ha. Wet weather delayed planting and increased crop disease, and barley and rapeseed are also projected lower.

- Date: 2024-07-10 · published 2024-07-10T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region France · magnitude high
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/29193-french-soft-wheat-crop-forecast-to-shrink-15-after-poor-weather
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md)

## Why it matters

A ministry-confirmed drop of this size tightens EU wheat and feed-grain supply, supporting European and world wheat prices.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲
- CANMEAL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2024-10-16 | [France trims soft wheat crop estimate, raises maize forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27790-france-trims-soft-wheat-crop-estimate-raises-maize-forecast.md) | -1.1% | -1.6% |
| WHEAT | 2024-09-18 | [France cuts soft wheat crop estimate, raises maize forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28262-france-cuts-soft-wheat-crop-estimate-raises-maize-forecast.md) | +11.0% | +5.4% |
| WHEAT | 2026-07-06 | [Soufflet forecasts France’s wheat crop at 31.5–32 mln tons](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18286-soufflet-forecasts-france-s-wheat-crop-at-31-5-32-mln-tons.md) | -0.3% | +1.4% |
| WHEAT | 2024-06-13 | [European soft wheat production forecast at 134.5 million tonnes](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29700-european-soft-wheat-production-forecast-at-134-5-million-tonnes.md) | -2.1% | -3.6% |
| WHEAT | 2024-01-02 | [Experts have lowered the forecast for the soft wheat harvest in the EU](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32067-experts-have-lowered-the-forecast-for-the-soft-wheat-harvest-in-the-eu.md) | -2.8% | -2.7% |

## Sources

- tridge.com: https://www.tridge.com/news/french-soft-wheat-crop-forecast-to-shrink-15-rmbggo

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.